Double Dutch, 10th October 2014
Double Dutch
Double Dutch, 10th October 2014
Yesterday was a better day for us than we’ve enjoyed of late, but I’m sorry to report that I’m still on the cold list scrabbling around for some consistent form.
We did, at least, get back amongst the winners at Exeter where Ni Sin E Mo Ainm beat Yabadabadoo by just a head in the shadows of the pot. it was a good result for us with the longer priced horse winning, giving us a larger stake for race two and the bonus of a 12.4/1 forecast.
Our two were so dominant that the third-placed horse was a further 14 lengths adrift.
This, of course, gave us fresh optimism approaching our second race over at Worcester and although As De Mee beat Highpower as expected, the best they could manage for us was to finish third and fourth respectively with the favourite As De Mee being headed at the penultimate hurdle and eventually succumbing to a 7 lengths defeat.
Thursday’s results were as follows:
Ni Sin E Mo Ainm: won at 7/2 (adv 7/2)
Yabadabadoo: 2nd at 5/2 (adv 9/4)
A forecast paid £13.40 to £1 stakes here.
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As De Mee: u/p at 6/4 (adv 9/2)
Highpower: u/p at 5/2 (adv 85/40)
Results to date:
369 winning selections from 1307 = 28.23%
119 winning bets in 340 days = 35.00%
Stakes: 679.50pts
Returns: 729.31pts
P/L : +49.81pts (+7.33% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Yesterday was better than of late, but more is required from these on Friday…
Just five runners line up for what looks a really good contest for both this track and the time of year. Although not favourite to win, I can’t help but be drawn to Taquin du Seuil, who just oozes. he was a very good hurdler with wins at Grade 2 & subsequently Grade 1 level, before going chasing, where if anything he is even better. His chasing record reads 113211, culminating in a pulsating victory in the Grade 1 JLT Novices Chase at Cheltenham.
Uxizandre was second that day (beaten by 0.75 L) and subsequently franked the form by landing a Grade 1 chase of his own three weeks later at Aintree. Taquin du Seuil comes off a long break, but so do his four rivals here and it should be noted that around this time last year, he made a winning chase debut off the back of a longer (230 days) break than this and I’d expect him to do the same again today at 9/4 BOG.
Richie McLernon rides today, As AP McCoy has been claimed to ride the 9/4 BOG priced Colour Squadron who has probably been a little unlucky not to have won more of his races than he has actually managed. He ran consistently well in all three outings over fences last season, despite not managing to win any of them. All were at Cheltenham at Grade 3 level and as well as proving his stamina, he managed to make the frame on each occasion (finishes of 232).
With just seven runs over fences (placed 5 times), there’s probably still a bit more to come from this one. The jockey booking is significant, as is the fact that he carries much less weight than his rivals here today and if Taquin du Seuil pick isn’t quite on his game, it could well be a first chase victory for Colour Squadron, although I fear another bridesmaid’s role awaits.
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Robins Command beat Final Assault by two lengths over this trip at Perth 16 days ago and whilst the latter is now 3lbs better off, I expect the placings to remain unaltered in a tighter contest this time around. Final Assault should be much closer today with the weight pull and might consider himself unlucky to have been beaten in that race, but the mitigating circumstances are that it was his first effort over fences and he hadn’t had a run for almost six months.
Final Assault is sure to come on for having had the run and also having had the experience of the bigger obstacles and under normal circumstances, I’d be looking at selecting him as the likely winner at 9/4 BOG, as the bookies seem to have done, but Robins Command has been a revelation over the last six months since being partnered by rising star Craig Nichol, who uses his 3lb claim very well indeed.
Craig clearly gets on with this horse as in eight outings together, they have won five times and been the runner-up in the other three races in a form line that reads 21121121. Surely a 1 would now complete that sequence/pattern? 😀 If like me, you think Robins Command‘s the winner here, you might be pleasantly surprised to find he’s backable at 100/30 BOG today.
4 x 0.5pt doubles as follows:
Colour Squadron / Final Assault @ 9.56/1 (9/4 & 9/4 : SkyBet)
Colour Squadron / Robins Command @ 12/1 (2/1 & 10/3 : Coral)
Taquin du Seuil / Final Assault @ 9.16/1 (85/40 & 9/4 : BetVictor)
Taquin du Seuil / Robins Command @ 13.08/1 (9/4 & 10/3 : Coral)
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