Double Dutch, 20th October 2014
No birthday Double Dutch on Saturday, alas. In The Rough and Vivaldi Collonges had it between themselves a long way out, the former eventually grinding out the win, with 26 lengths back to the third.
Unfortunately, in leg 2, we were scrambling from the furlong pole as, although Sruthan had a lead, the nominated – and very well backed in the end – danger, Sun On The Run, got up the rail to deny us by a half length. Second and third with first and second meant it was close but no meat pie.
A mundane Monday today, and nothing looks especially straightforward, but this pair of handicaps (not my preferred MO) could take us close.
Saturday’s results were as follows:
In The Rough: WON at 9/4 (adv 7/4)
Vivaldi Collonges: 2nd at 5/4 (adv 15/8)
Sruthan: 2nd at 2/1 (adv 2/1)
Stuccodor: 3rd at 3/1 (adv 3/1)
Results to date:
378 winning selections from 1333 = 28.36%
122 winning bets in 347 days = 35.16%
P/L : +47.81pts (+6.89% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
An interesting little handicap hurdle, and quite a good one for a Monday. David Pipe’s Virtuel D’Oudon is favoured and that seems right enough after a bumper win here, and two novice hurdle wins as well. This will be his first try in handicap company however, and a mark of 127, while not insurmountable, is probably not too lenient either.
In the circumstance then, it’s good to have a next best option in the race, which is the point of Double Dutch. Taradrewe will be that, from the bang-in-form yard of Anthony Honeyball. This lass is tough, and she stays well. She was an easy winner here in March over course and distance and, though that was Class 5 and this is Class 3, she has strong claims. Aidan Coleman, himself in terrific form, rides.
Cannon Fodder looks capable of out-running odds of 11/1 and rates the most likely party pooper.
There really is a dearth of the kind of races I like to go at with Double Dutch today, so I’m forced to take a bit more of a ‘punt’. If we have to do that, then we should demand something of a price to justify the greater risk, and this race has a couple that could be suited by how it’s run.
Bureau is drawn in stall one, and a low draw has been a significant advantage at Pontefract all season. Although he doesn’t need to, Joe Fanning may well try to gun from the front – again a tactic which has worked well at Ponty this season. Bureau is a course and distance winner, and has won on soft in this grade and over this trip too. He’s back to his last winning mark of 82, and everything looks set for a big run with a two grade drop in class this afternoon.
Dark Ruler is tough and consistent, and can race prominently himself, something he’s likely to try to do from stall four. He takes quite a drop in distance today, having been racing at up to a mile and three quarters, but he has won a soft ground ten furlong Class 4 handicap this term (back in March), so conditions will not inconvenience him. It might be a job for David Allan to establish a position early on this speed-favouring strip, but if he can he’ll have plenty more to give at the business end than most of his less stoutly made rivals. Trainer Alan Swinbank is in fair form, too.
4 x 0.5pt doubles as follows:
Virtuel D’Oudon/ Bureau @ 7/1 (Evs & 3/1 : BetVictor)
Virtuel D’Oudon / Dark Ruler @ 11/1 (Evs & 5/1 : Skybet)
Taradrewe / Bureau @ 19.63/1 (9/2 & 11/4 : Coral)
Taradrewe / Dark Ruler @ 29.25/1 (9/2 & 9/2 : Coral)