Double Dutch, 21st October 2014

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 21st October 2014

It was the dreaded 1-2 as Matt signed off his latest stint in the DD hotseat with Taradrewe’s inability to see out the race the difference between a loss of 2 pts and a 29.25/1 double.

Taradrewe had run really well up to 2 from home and was stringing the field out, but she jumped badly right at the penultimate hurdle, lost a fair bit of ground and momentum and in a flash, the eventual winner Invicta Lake was through and gone. Such was her capitulation, that she only just held on to the runner-up berth as the pack closed in.

The disappointment of her not getting home was compounded at Pontefract, where Dark Ruler rallied late on to get up by half a length.

Monday’s results were as follows:

Taradrewe: 2nd at 9/4 (adv 9/2)
Virtuel D’Oudon: u/p at 11/8 (adv evs)
Dark Ruler: WON at 3/1 (adv 9/2)
Bureau: u/p at 7/2 (adv 3/1)

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Results to date:
379 winning selections from 1336 = 28.37%
122 winning bets in 348 days = 35.06%

Stakes: 695.50pts
Returns: 741.46pts

P/L : +45.96pts (+6.61% ROI)


2.20 Wolverhampton:

Charles Hills has a good record with juveniles here at Wolverhampton and could well add to his tally with a win by Longside, who was only denied by a horse rated 67 last time out. Khawaater beat him by just a head that day at Kempton three weeks ago and that was only Longside’s second start as opposed to Khawaater who already had some good efforts in handicap contests under his belt.

Longside is a 2/1 BOG chance to get off the mark today, but might find his path to victory blocked by Secret Glance, who caught the eye on debut at Pontefract a month ago. He was admittedly slow away and then outpaced early on and that can be a killer over 5f, but he stayed on well and was doing all his best work in the closing stages to eventually finish 4th of the 9 runners.

He was eventually just a length and a half behind the very consistent (22221) filly, Free Entry who is rated at 80 and I’d expect Secret Glance to come on for having had that first run and with a better start today, could go well at 5/2 BOG for Ed McMahon here.


2.30 Lingfield:

Based on the previous runs of those with racing experience, this one should really develop into a straight match between the two at the head of the market. Perceus was handed an almost impossible task on debut at Newbury a month ago, when sent to compete against the progressive Snoano in a Class 2 contest. he finished third of five there with two proven C2 performers ahead of him.

He did, however, stay on well towards the finish and the benefit of that run will do him good. He displayed quite a bit of greenness in that contest and a hood is applied today to help with that, as should the drop back to a more realistic Class 5 level. His yard have a 25% strike rate in recent years with their 2yr olds at this track and Perceus could be their latest success at 9/4 BOG.

Taysh is priced up at 5/2 BOG in his bid to improve upon his runner-up finish on debut at Newcastle three weeks ago. He ran well in patches and was an expensive purchase and both his trainer (Gosden) and his jockey (Dettori) have good separate records here at Lingfield. Frankie is an interesting booking here on Taysh today, for although he’s 4/8 on the Gosden string here at Lingfield and 11211 on his last five rides here for the yard, his win last time out in July 2010 was his only ride for the yard here in the last 10 years!

4 x 0.5pt doubles as follows:

Longside/ Perceus @ 8.75/1 (2/1 & 9/4 : Betfair Sportsbook)
Longside / Taysh @ 9.5/1 (2/1 & 5/2 : BetVictor)
Secret Glance / Perceus @ 9.56/1 (9/4 & 9/4 : Betfair Sportsbook)
Secret Glance / Taysh @ 1129.25/1 (5/2 & 5/2 : Bet365 & BetVictor)

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