Double Dutch, 6th November 2014
After the frustration of Tuesday, it was back to winning ways on Wednesday, as the drifting Grendisar rounded out an 8.75/1 double with the talented Mendip Express.
It’s trickier today, and I’ve taken a bit of a punt in leg one of our closely matched chronological pairing this afternoon…
Wednesday’s results were as follow
Mendip Express: won at 6/5 (adv 5/4)
Masterofdeception: 4th at 9/4 (adv 3/1)
Grendisar: won at 10/3 (adv 5/2)
Rydan: 3rd at 15/8 (adv 9/4)
Results to date:
398 winning selections from 1387 = 28.7%
128 winning bets in 361 days = 35.46%
P/L : +46.67pts (+6.47% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Nexius very nearly made it as the Stat of the Day selection today, but just lost out to a Wolver wonder (I hope!). Still, he looks a pretty decent bet to make the hat-trick having already racked up a pair of class, distance and going victories before the summer. Keith Dalgleish’s horses are in good form and rarely need their first outings, so a break of 201 days wouldn’t be a concern; and Nexius has bags of upside with just five races to his name. Indeed, he’s won both his races since acquiring a handicap mark.
If he does falter off his revised perch of 120, Pass Muster looks the most likely to step in. Philip Kirby’s seven year old likes it here, with a win and a close second from two hurdles starts at the track. He was also a winner over two miles on the level here through the summer, again demonstrating his compatibility with the circuit. He had a nice pipe opener over hurdles at Market Rasen 40 days ago and should be spot on for a bold showing today.
I have a slight niggle that both selections like to be held up, but there is some pace in the race, and I’d hope we’ll be all right on that score.
If we’ve come through leg one unscathed, our fate will be sealed soon enough thereafter, as leg two will be off within a few minutes of the first half concluding. It’s a maiden hurdle and one where most of the field can be readily discounted. Two that cannot are Hurricane’s Girl and Leaderofthedance.
Hurricane’s Girl ran a race full of promise at Worcester for trainer Jonjo O’Neill last time behind Lady Buttons, the pair a dozen lengths clear of the third best. The winner got first run that day, and Richie McLernon will keep tabs on the leaders today. She has the form to win this but the Jonjo stable is not firing on all cylinders right now (just one winner from 36 runners in the past fortnight).
Lucky then that we can take a second shot at the race, and that will be Nicky Henderson’s Leaderofthedance, a winner of her sole start, in a soft ground Worcester bumper. This would likely be a minimum trip requirement, but the stiff course constitution ought to play to her staying strengths, as will a strong arm ride from Andrew Tinkler.
Hendo continues is fine form, and has the full set of four green icons – implying both recent form and historical track form – to back that up. Both selections should race prominently this afternoon, and will hopefully have it between them after the last. Of course, it doesn’t often turn out that way…
4 x 0.5pt doubles as follows:
Nexius / Hurricane’s Girl – 8.17/1 (5/2 & 13/8 bet365)
Nexius / Leaderofthedance – 13/1 (5/2 & 3/1 bet365)
Pass Muster / Hurricane’s Girl – 14.41/1 (9/2 & 13/8 bet365)
Pass Muster / Leaderofthedance – 21/1 (9/2 & 3/1 bet365)