Double Dutch, 26th November 2014
After the frustrations of Monday, our patience was rewarded yesterday with a couple of very good results in tight races for us.
The short of it was, 2 races, 4 horses, 2 winners, 2 runners-up making a double at 9.31/1 with 2 forecasts/exactas thrown in for good measure. Yes, the prices were a little skinnier than I’d like and I’d have preferred the runner-up of race 2 to have won, but apparently you can’t have everything! 😀
In race 1, our two runners were only separated by a nose after running a mile, as Simon Walker got his mount up at the last minute to grab the win and our selections were a couple of lengths clear of the pack.
Race 2 was another close run thing too, a 2m4f chase on soft ground with just half a length the margin of victory and the third placed horse was some 17 lengths further back. Runswick Days continued his fine run of recent form to grind out the win, but the eye-catcher was the runner up Silver Vogue on his chase debut. Yes, he made a couple of mistakes, but on the basis of yesterday’s run, I’ll be interested in where he goes next, as I’m sure he’ll win over fences soon.
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
It’s All A Game: won at 7/4 (adv 11/4)
Company Secretary: 2nd at 9/4 (adv 15/8)
The exacta was worth £6.10 in this one
Runswick Days: won at 13/8 (adv 7/4)
Silver Vogue: 2nd at 9/4 (adv 5/2)
Exacta payout of £5.40 here (CSF slightly higher)
Results to date:
419 winning selections from 1454 = 28.82%
134 winning bets in 378 days = 35.45%
P/L : +79.99pts (+10.59% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
We’ve been in decent touch here at DD for a few weeks now and although Wednesday looks tricky, I’m confident of a fair show from the following…
Alteranthela generally goes well here at Fontwell and looks the best option in what looks a poor race that could become a bit of a slog. With just 24 races to his name at the age of 10, he’s not been overworked so should still have some miles left in his legs. He has made the frame on six of the eight prior runs he’s had here at Fontwell and was only beaten by a neck in this race last year on good to soft ground. He was beaten by the re-opposing Volio Vincente that day, conceding a stone to the winner and he now attempts to go one better with a 9lb pull in the weights.
Alteranthela then won here at Fontwell next time out over today’s course and distance in absolutely awful conditions (probably worse than today!) on Boxing Day. We know that track, trip and ground conditions aren’t an issue for him here and if asked yesterday what doubts I had, i would have said I was concerned about him representing a yard without a win in 9 months / 30 races, but Richard Rowe’s two runners at Lingfield yesterday produced a win and a runner-up, so maybe things are turning. Alteranthela is 6lbs lighter than his C&D win and could go in again at 15/8 BOG (Boylesports).
Promised Wings is the one most likely to challenge, I think. He’s made the frame in three of five starts here at Fontwell and has some decent enough form on heavy ground. He was second to Royal Palladium at Lingfield a fortnight ago with that horse going on to win again at Ludlow two days ago.
It’s a first crack at 3m2.5f today for Promised Wings, but he has won at 3m 0.5f and has placed at 3m1f and 3m2f in the past, he runs off a mark of 96 today and has finishes of 222 to his name off 4lbs higher, 2 of which were here at Fontwell. Promised Wings isn’t the strongest pick, but probably the best of a poor looking bunch and can be backed at 5/2 BOG today.
Jebediah Shine is a lightly raced (just three starts so far) 2yr old filly who pretty much sets the standard on form in this maiden, having only been beaten by half a length at Beverley over today’s trip on her last outing. This is her A/W debut, but she’s by Kyllachy, whose offspring have a good record in the shorter/lower grade races here at Kempton over the last few years. She was only headed late on at Beverley with the softer ground seeming to take its toll and it is expected that quicker surface here will be conducive to her getting off the mark at 2/1 BOG.
Slightly more exposed after 6 races, but rated 6lbs higher by the assessor than Jebediah Shine is Crosse Fire, for whom I’m happy to set the last run aside. He was well beaten at Doncaster last time out, but in mitigation, it came just 4 days after a good effort at Southwell (runner-up, beaten by a length), it was a step up in class and trip and the ground was virtually bottomless. Prior to that, he had been second in two of three starts and the drop back to 5f and Class 5 racing is sure to help.
Crosse Fire hasn’t raced here before, but does at least have the benefit of that A/W run at Southwell under his belt and has the best jockey in the race on his back and at 9/4 BOG could well be the fly in Jebediah Shine‘s ointment.
4 x 0.5pt doubles as follows:
Alteranthela / Jebediah Shine @ 7.63/1 (15/8 & 2/1 : Boylesports & Betfred)
Alteranthela / Crosse Fire @ 8.34/1 (15/8 & 9/4 : Boylesports, Betfred & Bet365)
Promised Wings / Jebediah Shine @ 9.50/1 (5/2 & 2/1 : BetVictor & Coral)
Promised Wings / Crosse Fire @ 10.38/1 (5/2 & 9/4 : BetVictor, Boylesports, Coral, Skybet )