Stat of the Day, 19th December 2014
A rare misjudgement of pace by young Harry Bannister on Friday meant that Little Boy Boru was never nearer than the six lengths he was beaten at the line. That was good for no better than fourth, so we roll on to Saturday.
Chris is having a day off and, in what I swear is not a selection in tribute to him, I’m taking a flyer in a hot race, the…
In which I am siding with Mymatechris – you see what I did there? – who bids for a four-timer on this step up in grade. So why would this well-named selection find its way onto Stat of the Day?
Andrew Balding is absolutely flying right now. His form in the past three weeks is 11132271501177715533651191411. Specifically, that is 12 wins from 29 runs (41% win rate), and that sequence includes five winners from nine runners at Lingfield.
Over the past year, Balding has saddled 19 winners from 86 runners at the Surrey track, which is 22%.
The horse itself is, as I’ve mentioned, also in blinding form. Having started his win sequence off a mark of 69, he went on to score from 75 and 81 subsequently. The last two victories have been over course and distance, and he bids to maintain that track/trip 100% record here.
Stepping up in class by two grades is a big enough leap, but Mymatechris is in great form – he won those two course and distance races by an aggregate of eleven lengths! – and he’s clearly on the rapid upgrade.
A wide draw is mitigated by the length of the race, a mile and a half, and the fact that he’s versatile regards pace, and his finishing kick has to be seen to be believed. If he can turn for home less than five wide and within three lengths of the lead, he should win.
As such, I’ve backed him at the generally available 3/1, and he’s a one point win pick for Stat of the Day. As usual, do…
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