Sat TV Trends: 3rd Jan 2015

As we head into the first Saturday in 2015 the C4 cameras head to Sandown and Wincanton – As normal we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle……..

Wincanton (RUK/C4)

2.05 – Bathwick Tyres Yeovil Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f110y CH4 

No previous runnings

Trainer/Jockey stats:
Paul Nicholss has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Tom George has a 26% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Henderson is just 3 from 35 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Conor O’Farrell has a 31% record when riding over fences at the track

2.40 – Bathwick Tyres Poole Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m4f CH4

3 previous runnings
3/3 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
3/3 – Ran within the last 2 months
2/3 – Returned a double-figure price
2/3 – Unplaced in their last race
2/3 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
2/3 – Won by the Pipe stable
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 9.3/1

Trainer/Jockey stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 32% record with his hurdlers at the track
Harry Fry has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Hadden Frost is just 1 from 30 riding over hurdles at the course

3.15 – Bathwick Tyres Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f110y CH4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 7 or older
6/6 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/6 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
5/6 – Won over 2m4f previously
4/6 – Run in the last 9 weeks
4/6 – Won 2 or less times over fences
4/6 – Favourites placed in the top 2
3/6 – Irish bred
3/6 – Aged 11 years-old
2/6 – Trained by Tom George
1/6 – Favourites
Big Fella Thanks won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 7/1

Trainer/Jockey stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Jeremy Scott is just 2 from 28 with his chasers at the track
Nick Schofield has a 23% record riding over fences at the track
Sam Twiston-Davies has a 21% record riding over fences at the track

Sandown (RUK/C4)

1.50 – 32Red Casino Handicap Chase Cl2 2m CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
7/8 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
7/8 – Ran within the last 2 months
7/8 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
7/8 – Never raced at Sandown
7/8 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/8 – Irish bred
6/8 – Officially rated 135 or higher
6/8 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
6/8 – Favourite placed
6/8 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/8 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
4/8 – Unplaced last time out
4/8 – Favourites
4/8 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
3/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/8 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/8 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/8 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
2/8 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 9/2

Trainer/Jockey stats:
PaulNicholls has a 28% record with his chasers at the track
AP McCoy has a 21% record riding over fences at the track

2.25 – 32Red Tolworth Hurdle Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y CH4

10/10 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
10/10 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/10 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
8/10 – Came from the top three in the market
8/10 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
5/10 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
5/10 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/10 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/10 – Favourites
4/10 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
2/10 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/10 – Ridden by jockey Timmy Murphy
2/10 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/10 – Ran at Sandown before
2/10 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/10 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
1/10 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Noland 2006)
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 10/3
5 or 6 years-old have won 16 of the last 22 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger

Note: 2002 – Running staged at Warwick
2003 – Running staged at Wincanton

Trainer/Jockey stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Barry Geraghty has a 34% record when riding over hurdles at the track

3.00 –32Red Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y CH4

8/9 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
8/9 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
8/9 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/9 – Unplaced last time out
7/9 – Placed in the top three last time out
7/9 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
6/9 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/9 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/9 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
5/9 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
5/9 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
4/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Raced at either Ascot (2) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
4/9 – From the top 3 in the betting
2/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/9 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/9 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/9 – Won last time out
0/9 – Favourites

Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot

Trainer/Jockey stats:
Venetia Williams is just 3 from 38 with her hurdlers at the track
Oliver Sherwood is 0 from 22 with his hurdlers at the track
AP McCoy has a 24% record riding over hurdles at the course

3.35 – 32Red.com HBLB Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y CH4

8/8 – Ran within the last 2 months
7/8 – Had won between 1-3 times (fences) in the UK previously
7/8 – Placed in the first three last time out
6/8 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
6/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
6/8 – Carried 11-2 or less
6/8 – Officially rated between 124 and 133
5/8 – Aged 9 or older
5/8 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
5/8 – Irish bred
5/8 – Raced at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
1/8 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 10.6/1

Trainer/Jockey stats:
Nicky Henderson has 21% record with his chasers at the track
Gary Moore has 21% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his chasers at the track

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