Double Dutch, 16th January 2015
We’re enduring a testing run on DD, and no mistaking. Chris is celebrating (wrong word) his birthday, so Matt’s in the chair. Hopefully a change of chair can bring about a change of luck.
Yesterday saw a nice 5/1 winner in the first leg undone by a blowout in leg two unfortunately. Such has been the way of it in recent days.
Thursday’s results were as follows:
Private Malone: Won at 5/1 (adv 4/1)
Great Choice: 3rd at 9/4 (adv 4/1)
Elhaam: 3rd at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Mandy Layla: 6th at 11/2 (adv 9/4)
Results to date:
458 winning selections from 1612 = 28.41%
142 winning bets in 418 days = 33.97%
P/L : +67.42pts (+8.07% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
At times like these it pays to remember the headline figures – 34% strike rate on doubles, and over 8% ROI which is still excellent. Maybe today can add to that fine historical record, starting with the…
One of the more interesting runners at Wolves this evening is Roger Varian’s Steve Rogers. On form – 87/7- – you’d give him no chance, but there are a few things to consider.
First, the fact he’s been kept in training into a third year off such moderate form and light racing implies there is ability there. Second, he’s stepping up half a mile in trip today to a mile and a half; and, as a son of Montjeu out of a stoutly bred mare, he looks likely to appreciate that.
And third, it’s Roger Varian! He’s got a 27% strike rate at the track, and a whopping 63% place strike rate here.
With a more obvious form chance is Pim Street, a horse that is hardly a winning machine, but who has won two of his three races here. He was second on his only try over course and distance last time out, and should run his race again.
We’ll attempt to double up an hour later in what looks a very shallow handicap. It’s seven furlongs, so an inside draw – though not trap one – is a plus, and the two at the forefront of the market will occupy berths two and four.
Trap two is reserved for Harwoods Star, a winner at Southwell over five furlongs two runs back. He’s got bags of form at this trip however, including a pair of places in reasonable races. Trainer Stuart Williams continues in excellent form, and Harwoods Star is fairly versatile pace wise.
Spirit Of Gondree has the considerable assistance of Luke Morris, and was a course and distance runner up just a week ago. He runs off the same mark here and, with a better stall position (trap seven that day, four here) and no obvious improver in the field, he has a solid chance.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Steve Rogers / Harwoods Star@ 10.06/1 (59/20 & 9/5 : Betbright)
Pim Street / Harwoods Star @ 13/1 (4/1 & 9/5 : Betbright)
Steve Rogers / Spirit Of Gondree @ 11.25/1 (59/20 & 21/10 : Betbright)
Pim Street / Spirit Of Gondree @ 15.25/1 (4/1 & 9/4 : Hills)