Double Dutch, 17th January 2015
Many thanks to Matt for yesterday’s efforts. Not only did he give me the morning off from DD duties, he also broke the cycle of my recent “close, but no cigar” run of near misses.
Even during the recent dry spell, we’ve been clocking up the race winners, just not quite getting two together on the same day often enough. As Matt righly pointed out yesterday, the bottom line stats are still good and this is, of course, a long-term bank builder.
With regards to yesterday’s success, not only did Matt pick two nice race winners, who both won a shade cosily in the end, by taking 59/20 & 21/10 about Steve Rogers and Spirit of Gondree respectively, his 11.25/1 double absolutely smashed the SP returns of 8.84/1 by a massive 27%.
BOG betting means you never leave money on the table!
Friday’s results were as follows:
Steve Rogers: Won at 11/4 (adv 59/20)
Pim Street: 5th at 7/2 (adv 4/1)
Spirit Of Gondree: won at 13/8 (adv 21/10)
Harwoods Star: 3rd at 2/1 (adv 9/5)
Results to date:
460 winning selections from 1616 = 28.47%
143 winning bets in 419 days = 34.13%
P/L : +71.54pts (+8.54% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
With yesterday’s success behind us, it’d be great to round the week off with two more winners from these…
Just six go to post for this one, but the bookies say only two of them can win and I’m inclined to agree with them.
Whilst a Class 2 chase is a decent standard of contest, it’s a major drop in class for 6/4 BOG Carraig Mor, who won a Grade 2 contest two starts ago and was in the process of running another big race last out, before falling whilst leading in a Grade 1 event at Kempton and provided there’s no ill effects from that effort on Boxing Day, he should have a major say in proceedings here.
The one he has to beat is the in-form 9/4 BOG Third Intention, who also drops down in class and who was a winner here in a graduation chase back in November and has run well in two Grade 1 events since. Although he finished third and fifth in those two runs, he wasn’t disgraced by any means and he’s an obvious backup plan for me, considering he beat the reopposing Mwaleshi by 17 lengths the last time they met.
Evan Williams’ horses might not be winning as many races as he’d like them to, but they never seem to be far away come the final conclusion and he’ll expect another good show from Oscar Sunset here today. He’s not got too many miles on the clock and one fourth place finish is his worst result in 7 starts (2111422) and he was only touched off by a neck behind the useful Radmores Revenge last time out. I fancy him to go one better here today at 3/1 BOG…
…providing he can see off the challenge of the promising Southfield Royale who, with a record reading 112, has made an excellent start to his racing career. he has already shown that he’ll have no issues with the mud having won on heavy ground at Fontwell in a race a half furlong longer than today, so trip shouldn’t be an issue either. He concedes weight all round today, but at 11/4 BOG looks a viable alternative, should Oscar Sunset falter.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Carraig Mor / Southfield Royale @ 8.38/1 (6/4 & 11/4 : Stan James)
Carraig Mor / Oscar Sunset @ 9/1 (6/4 & 3/1 : Stan James)
Third Intention / Southfield Royale @ 10.38/1 (9/4 & 5/2 : generally)
Third Intention / Oscar Sunset @ 12/1 (9/4 & 3/1 : Bet365 & BetVictor)