Sat TV Trends: 31st Jan 2015

More LIVE C4 action this weekend as the cameras head to Sandown, Wetherby and Ffos Las – As normal we’ve we’ve got all the big race trends and stats for you.

Sandown (C4/RUK)

1.50 – Betfred “Goals Galore” Handicap Chase Cl2 2m CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
8/8 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
7/8 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/8 – Aged 9 or younger
7/8 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/8 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
5/8 – Carried 10-10 or less in weight
4/8 – Aged 7 years-old
4/8 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
4/8 – French bred
4/8 – From outside the top 4 in the betting
4/8 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/8 – Went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
3/8 – Won their last race
3/8 – Raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
2/8 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Hendserson
2/8 – Ridden by Timmy Murphy
1/8 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 renewals is 6/1
Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls is 30% with his chasers here
Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his chasers here
Philip Hobbs is just 3 from 36 with his chasers here
David Pipe is only 1 from 1 with his chasers here
Jonjo O’Neill is just 2 from 22 with his chasers here
Barry Geraghty has a 28% record riding over fences here

2.25 – Betfred TV Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y CH4

11/11 – Won no more than 3 times over fences previously
11/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
9/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
8/11 – Favourites
8/11 – Favourites placed
8/11 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/11 – Aged 7 years-old
5/11 – French bred
5/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/11 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
3/11 – Raced over fences at Sandown previoulsy
2/11 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
The average winning  SP in the last 10 renewals is 7/4

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls is 30% with his chasers here
Philip Hobbs is just 3 from 36 with his chasers here
Nigel Twiston-Davies is 0 from 23 with his chasers here

3.00 – Betfred Mobile And Levy Board Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m6f CH4

9/9 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
9/9 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
8/9 – Went to race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
8/9 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
8/9 – Won only 2-3 times over hurdles before
8/9 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
8/9 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/9 – Officially rated 135 or lower
7/9 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
7/9 – Returned 13/2 or less
6/9 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
5/9 – Favourites placed
4/9 – Raced over hurdles at Sandown previously (3 won)
4/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Favourites
4/9 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/9 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
3/9 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/10 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/10 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Ryanair Chase, 2007 Taranis)
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 6/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Charlie Longsdon has a 25% record with his hurdlers here
Lucy Wadham has a 20% record with her hurdlers here
Neil King has a 20% record with his hurdlers here
Emma Lavelle has a 20% record with her hurdlers here

3.35 – Betfred Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y CH4

11/11 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
10/11 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/11 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
9/11 – Rated 136 or lower
8/11 – Aged 9 or younger
7/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
7/11 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Placed in their last race
6/11 – Ran at Sandown before (3 won)
6/11 – Favourites placed in the top 4
5/11 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (2) last time out
5/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/11 – French-bred
4/11 – Irish-bred
3/11 – Favourites
2/11 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
RELAX won this race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his chasers here
Venetia Williams is just 3 from 39 with her chasers here
David Pipe is just 4 from 50 with his chasers here
Oliver Sherwood is just 1 from 24 with his chasers here
Richard Johnson has a 21% record riding over fences here

Ffos Las (C4/ATR)

2.05 – Betway Welsh Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) Cl2 2m4f CH4

Normally staged at Chepstow the race was terminated in 2002, but brought back to life by Ffos Las racecourse in 2010 – however, there was no race in 2010, Oscar Whisky won a poor renewal in 2011, while the 2012 race was abandoned.
Only 2 previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 37% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Sophie Leech has a 35% record with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 38% record at the track

2.40 – Betway West Wales National (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m4f CH4

Just 2 previous running
Venetia Williams won the race 12 months ago – TARRACO & GORGEHOUS LLIEGE
Venetia Williams has a 36% record with her chasers here
Rebecca Curtis has a 23% record with her chasers here
Alan King is 2 from 7 with her chasers here
Jamie Moore has a 21% record when riding over fences here

Wetherby (C4/RUK)

3.20 – totepool Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f CH4

9/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/10 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Never raced over fences at Wetherby previously
7/10 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
7/10 – Won between 1-2 times over fences previously
7/10 – Won their last race
7/10 – Aged 7 years-old
7/10 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Warwick (3) last time out
7/10 – Favourites placed
6/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/10 – Irish bred
4/10 –Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners, but all finished 6th or better)
2/10 – Trained by Ian Williams
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 3/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Brian Ellison has a 26% record with his chasers at the track
David Pipe has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Micky Hammond is just 2 from 39 with his chasers at the track
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Some Recent Quotes………………

“Had more of a break since his last run and comes here today fresh and well. Testing ground conditions but GORES ISLAND should run well”
Gary Moore 29/01/15 1st 7/1

“Seek The Fair Land: Has had a break, but also been working well during that time. Only 8 runners so top three claims and was a good old servant last year for us – never really running a bad race. 7f trip ideal and won off higher in the past. William Carson rides, he’s been on his back before and gets on well with him.”
Lee Carter 28/01/15 2nd 25/1

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