Double Dutch, 10th February 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 10th February 2015

Laughton Park defied a 45-week layoff from the track to score at 13/2 yesterday in a tight finish at Plumpton, where the first three home were only a length and a half apart after a pulsating finish. Having advised him at 7/1 BOG, not only was he a nice E/W bet as suggested, it was the best outcome for double purposes too.

This meant our attention turned to Wolverhampton where a double at around 30/1 was in the offing and I correctly suggested that Indian Affair would beat Oak Bluffs, which he did by just over a length, but I hadn’t expected a couple of runners at 8/1 and 28/1 to even further ahead, as we had to settle for third place.

Monday’s results were as follows:

Laughton Park : WON at 13/2 (adv 7/1)
Great Choice : 4th at 9/4 (adv 15/8)
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Indian Affair : 3rd at 11/4 (adv 11/4)
Oak Bluffs : 4th at 2/1 (adv 3/1)

Results to date:

482 winning selections from 1695 = 28.44%
149 winning bets in 439 days = 33.94%

Stakes: 877.50pts
Returns: 972.13pts

P/L : +94.63pts (+10.78% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

I’m still looking for our 150th winning double that will also take us closer to the 100pt profit barrier. Hopefully the key lies in these races…

2.10 Ayr:

AP McCoy seems to be riding like a man possessed at present,trying to clock up as many winners as he can in the final throes of an illustrious career. He’s ridden 8 winners from 20 in the last week and Top of the Glas could well be no. 21. This horse is 223 over hurdles and hasn’t been beaten by far, but the presence of first time cheekpieces and the booking of the champ could be all that’s needed to eke out that little bit extra needed to take this at 11/8 BOG.

The main threat is set to come from the 2/1 BOG Engrossing, who despite not winning any of his 16 efforts on the Flat, was pretty useful in that sphere, making the frame on 7 occasions. He has performed creditably showing some promise in each of his three efforts over hurdles to date, including beating all but one of his 14 rivals at Doncaster last time out, where he was only beaten by a very progressive type from Nicky Henderson’s yard.

The winner that day was rated 132 and beat Engrossing by 8 lengths and if Engrossing runs to that level again, I can’t see him outside the first two home again.

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2.20 Ffos Las:

Local Show won a point-to-point race last year and was the runner-up in a bumper. He’s 3U3 over hurdles and probably sets the standard in this small field. He is still improving and his last effort, when a decent third at Exeter, was his best run to date and as such, it’s unsurprising him to see him installed as the 5/4 BOG market leader.

Thunder and Rain, however, looks a very interesting prospect on his hurdling debut. He’s 2212 in bumoers and hid breeding suggests bags of stamina and a stayer in the making. The soft ground underfoot won’t bother him either and providing he takes to the hurdles as readily as you’d expect him to, then he’s a major danger at 7/4 BOG.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Top of the Glas / Local Show @ 4.34/1 (11/8 & 5/4 : generally)
Top of the Glas / Thunder and Rain @ 5.53/1 (11/8 & 7/4 : BetVictor, Betfair SB & Coral)
Engrossing / Local Show @ 5.75/1 (2/1 & 5/4 : generally)
Engrossing / Thunder and Rain @ 7.25/1 (2/1 & 7/4 : Bet365, BetVictor, Betfair SB & Coral)