Sat TV Trends: 14th Feb 2015

The C4 cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton this Saturday – like all big race days we’ve got all the trends & stats to help you whittle down the fields.

ASCOT (ATR/C4)

2.05 – racinguk.com Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (£18K Field Size Bonus) Grade 2 Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/12 – Returnd 17/2 or shorter in the market
11/12 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Won their last race
10/12 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/12 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
6/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
6/12 – Went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
3/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
Note: The 2005 & 2006 – Run at Lingfield Park
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 27% record with his chasers here

2.40 – Weatherbys Hamilton Chase Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – 1 or 2 chase wins
4/4 – Raced at either Ascot (2) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
3/4 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) previously
3/4 – Winning distance head or shorter
3/4 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/4 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
3/4 – Aged in double-figures
2/4 – Won last time out
2/4 – Irish bred
1/4 – Favourites
Vino Griego won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 11/2

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with his chasers here
Emma Lavelle is just 1 from 17 with her chasers here
Paddy Brennan is just 1 from 17 riding chasers here

3.15 – Les Ambassadeurs Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f110y CH4

9/9 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
7/9 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
6/9 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/9 – Carried 10-12 or less
6/9 – Went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/9 – Won over 2m4f or further previously
5/9 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/9 – Returned 9/1 or bigger
5/9 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
4/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/9 – Raced at Ascot over hurdles previously
4/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Favourites
2/9 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/9 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/9 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his hurdlers here
Don McCain has a 27% record with his hurdlers here
Tom Cannon is 0 from 20 riding hurdlers here

3.50 – Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y CH4

12/12 – Won over at least 2 ½ (fences) before
11/12 – Returned at 15/2 or shorter in the market
10/12 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
10/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
10/12 – Winners that failed to win their next start
9/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
8/12 – Favourites
8/12 – Officially rated 158 or higher
7/12 – Won between 1-4 times over fences before
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Ran at Kempton (King George) last time out
4/12 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
4/12 – Won over fences at Ascot before
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Won last time out
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4
Note: The 2005 & 2006 – Run at Lingfield Park

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with his chasers here
Paul Nicholls has a 27% record with his chasers here
Alan King is just 2 from 23 with his chasers here

HAYDOCK (RUK/C4)

2.20 – Betfred “Still Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s” Hurdle (Registered As The Rendlesham Hurdle) Grade 2 Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
9/12 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
9/12 – Rated 145 or higher
9/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – Aged 8 or younger
8/12 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
7/12 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
7/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
5/12 – French-bred
4/12 – Favourites
4/12 – Had raced at Haydock previously
2/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/12 – Favourites
1/12 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
Restless Harry won the race in 2012
Cross Kennon won the race in 2011
Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 – Run at Kempton Park

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Don McCain has a 24% record with his hurdlers here
Emma Lavelle has a 27% record with her hurdles here
Brian Hughes is just 2 from 37 riding over hurdles here

2.55 – Betfred Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f CH4

12/12 – UK trained winners
12/12 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
11/12 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/12 – Aged 10 or younger
10/12 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
9/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Aged 9 or younger
9/12 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
9/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/12 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/12 – Rated 135 or higher
6/12 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Irish-bred winners
4/12 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/12 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/12 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
2/12 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/12 – Winning favourites
Seeyouatmidnight won this in 2014
Across the Bay won this in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 10.4/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 32% record with his chasers here
Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2 from 39 with his chasers here
James Reveley is just 2 from 22 riding over fences here

WINCANTON (RUK/C4)

3.35 – Bathwick Tyres Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m CH4

11/11 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
10/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/11 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles before
10/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
10/11 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
9/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/11 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Rated 155 or higher
7/11 – Favourites
7/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
3/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
1/11 – Went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
The average winning SP in the last is 11/4

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 32% record with his hurdlers here
Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his hurdlers here
Mark Gillard is just 2 from 44 with his hurdlers here

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