Double Dutch, 24th February 2015
There was no 500th single winner for us yesterday, but we did inch a little closer when Scimon Templar was a7/2 winner at Ayr in our second race and although the warm favourite Mukaynis had disappointed earlier at Wolverhampton, we still made a small profit.
And that was because Pearl Noir was a non-runner, meaning we got paid on a 7/2 single on our winner giving us a 0.25pts profit on the day. It’s not huge, but it’s a 12.5% yield, which is pretty good all things considered.
Monday’s results were as follows:
Mukaynis : 4th at Evens (adv 6/4 after a 20p R4 deduction)
Pearl Noir : non-runner (adv 9/2)
Scimon Templar : WON at 7/2 (adv 7/2)
Kilkenny Kim : PU at 11/4 (adv 3/1)
Results to date:
499 winning selections from 1741 = 28.66%
156 winning bets in 451 days = 34.59%
P/L : +104.44pts (+11.59% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Now we’re just one shy of 500 winners, but I’d really like to skip 500 and get straight to 501 from these races…
As I tend to do in these weak looking maidens, I’ll take one that showed a bit of promise in a past run and one making its racecourse debut.
Things didn’t quite go right for Regards a month ago on debut at Wolverhampton and he had to make up quite a bit of ground in the second half of the race, but to his credit he stuck to the task and stayed on well to get within less that 3 lengths of the winner.
He was 2.75 lengths behind After The Sunset and 2 lengths ahead of Beat Cool and both have subsequently reappeared and won since. Regards is entitled to improve for having had a run and if the resultant form of his debut holds out, he has every chance here at 7/4 BOG.
Rain Wind And Fire has an impressive pedigree behind him and is an interesting runner here on debut and after a quite inactive spell here in the UK, trainer and jockey are both looking like coming into some good form and both have decent records at this track.
This Eskendereya colt is a half-brother to useful 2-y-o 6f winner Califante and his dam was an unraced half-sister to Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile winner Albertus Maximus. He should have no difficulty with the surface and if ready, Rain Wind And Fire could take this at 9/4 BOG (skyBet).
Uno Valoroso (0/12 prior to going chasing) is a different animal over fences with a record reading 113. He failed in his bid to defy an 8lb (15lb in total) rise when seeking a hat-trick last time out at Hexham a fortnight ago. However, the extremely testing conditions were possibly the cause of his downfall, as he was only headed on the run-in when tiring.
There was also a suggestion that he was too aggrssively ridden by Jake Greenall that day, but the return of Tony Kelly (2/1 on the horse), a slight drop back in trip allied to much better ground mean that Uno Valoroso is a very likely contender here again at 2/1 BOG today, especially as he runs off the same mark as last time out, but Tony takes 3lbs off.
The 11/4 BOG Billy Cuckoo is the one who threatens to be the fly in the ointment here, as he seemed to be coming back to something like decent form last time out, finishing third and beaten by less than 1.5 lengths at Carlisle at 10/1 in a stronger-looking race than this.
He has now dropped to a mark 5lbs lower than his last win and the drop back in trip might just help him to see the job out. He has made the frame on both visits to Catterick in the past and Billy Cuckoo should be there or thereabouts once again today.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Regards / Uno Valoroso @ 7.25/1 (7/4 & 2/1 : Betbright, SkyBet & Stan James)
Regards / Billy Cuckoo @ 9.31/1 (7/4 & 11/4 : Betbright)
Rain Wind And Fire / Uno Valoroso @ 8.75/1 (9/4 & 2/1 : SkyBet)
Rain Wind And Fire / Billy Cuckoo @ 11.19/1 (9/4 & 11/4 : SkyBet)