Double Dutch, 25th February 2015
Rain Wind And Fire showed both his inexperience and also some of his undoubted quality at Lingfield yesterday, running greenly out wide in the early stages, before getting down to work on a racing line to win by three parts of a length on debut.
He overhauled the long-time leader inside the final furlong, running on strongly with our other runner Regards back in third place, beaten by a length and quarter.
Then later, up at Catterick, Billy Cuckoo’s recent resurgence ground to a halt as he came home last of the 4 runners, some 96.5 lengths off the pace according to the official results. Whatever / however they work that out is unsure, but he really was well beaten.
The good news is that it was our first choice Uno Valoroso that beat him by so far, beating his nearest rival by 12 lengths as he led from 4 out to complete a very satisfactory 9.75/1 double and he became our 501st winner for DD.
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Rain Wind And Fire : WON at 7/4 (adv 9/4)
Regards : 3rd at 11/10 (adv 7/4)
Uno Valoroso : WON at 6/4 (adv 2/1)
Billy Cuckoo : 4th at 3/1 (adv 11/4)
Results to date:
501 winning selections from 1745 = 28.66%
157 winning bets in 452 days = 34.59%
P/L : +107.32pts (+11.88% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Two profitable days so far week, these are the races selected for the hat-trick bid…
It’s well versed that Venetia Williams’ horses come to the fore when the mud is flying and in Eastern Witness, she has a great chance of landing yet another soft ground winner at 3/1 BOG with a horse that has run competitively off much higher marks over hurdles and seemed to be getting it together over fences at Ludlow last time out.
The first time blinkers seemed to do the trick as he came home in third place behind two much higher-rated/regarded runners. The blinkers are reapplied today and he has been eased a pound in the weights for what looks a slightly easier task for this former PTP winner.
The man to beat, though, is likely to be the in-form Tom Scudamore, who is firing in the winners at present (10 from 30 in the last fortnight!) and has a really good chance of improving that record aboard Bobbits Way, who after a series of near misses (35232) over fences, finally broke his duck when Tom rode him to victory over 2m1f on heavy ground at Plumpton a month ago.
He’s up 5lbs for the win, Bobbits Way should be buoyed by finally getting of the mark and with Mr Scudamore holding the reins again, there’s every chance of him following up here at 11/4 BOG, especially if the forecasted rain arrives. The ground is already soft and if it gets any worse, it’ll help this horse’s chances, as he has finished 3221 on his last four efforts on heavy ground.
Ryan Moore was a winner for us yesterday taking his seasonal tally to 2/6 since his return to UK racing and he’ll look to add to that on Baltic Knight this evening. 11 of this horse’s last 14 races have been in Listed company or better, so this is a fair step down in quality as he looks for a win on his first outing of the year, having scored twice last autumn.
The results might say he was 6th of 7 last time out, but that again was a Listed contest and a 4 length defeat in that standard of race is rarely a disgrace. The winner that day, Grendisar won another Listed contest last weekend, whilst the third placed horse also won next time out. If running to his capabilities, Baltic Knight is the one to catch at 15/8 BOG today.
Whilst last year’s winner The Rectifier will be aiming to retain his crown and add to his record of 2 from 4 here at Kempton. He does admittedly concede weight all round, but is the only course and distance winner in the field and the booking of Adam Kirby is a positive move in my eyes.
I believe that the bookies have priced him up at 7/2 BOG simply because we haven’t seen him for 5 months since being well beaten in the Cambridgeshire, but I’m not over concerned about the layoff, as The Rectifier has already won after breaks of 194, 112 and 151 days. That 151 days was between the 2013 Cambridgeshire and this race last year, so it’s not impossible.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Eastern Witness / Baltic Knight @ 9.78/1 (11/4 & 15/8 : Coral)
Eastern Witness / The Rectifier @ 15.47/1 (14/5 & 10/3 : Betbright)
Bobbits Way / Baltic Knight @ 9.78/1 (11/4 & 15/8 : BetVictor & Coral)
Bobbits Way / The Rectifier @ 15.25/1 (11/4 & 10/3 : generally)