Sat TV Trends: 28th Feb 2015

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday C4 race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise – Newbury and Doncaster provide the action and as every week we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats………….

NEWBURY (C4/RUK)

1.45 – Betfair Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Philip Hobbs is just 6 from 65 with his hurdlers at the track

2.15 – Betway Supporting Greatwood, Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 4 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y CH4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
5/6 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
5/6 – Aged 10 years-old
4/6 – Favourites unplaced
3/6 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
3/6 – Carried 11-7 or more in weight
2/6 – Ridden by AP McCoy
1/6 – Won their last race
1/6 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewalsis 5/1

2.50 – Ladbrokes Supporting Greatwood Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m110y CH4

12/12 – Won over this trip (hurdles)
11/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/12 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/12 – Favourites unplaced
7/12 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
6/12 – Ran at Newbury before
6/12 – Rated 120 or less
5/12 – From the top three in the betting
5/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Went onto finish in the first two in the County Hurdle
2/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/12 – Trained by Gary Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 7/1

3.25 – StanJames.com Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f CH4

12/12 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
11/12 – Aged 8 or younger
11/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Won between 1-4 times over fences
9/12 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
9/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/12 – Ran at Newbury (hurdles or fences)
9/12 – Won over this trip
8/12 – Rated 139 or higher
8/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – French bred
6/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
6/12 – Aged 8 years-old
6/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
4/12 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/12 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
1/12 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 10/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

DONCASTER (C4/RUK)

2.00 – BetBright Risk Free Bet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m110y CH4

Four previous runnings
4/4 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
3/4 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
2/4 – Trained by Brian Ellison
James Ewart is 8 from 20 with his chasers here
Keith Reveley has a 20% record with his chasers here
Alan King is just 1 from 27 with his chasers here
James Reveley has a 24% record riding over fences here

2.35 – BetBright Cheltenham Festival Fund Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m110y CH4

Two previous running
Both won by the favourite
Peter Bowen is 0 from 23 with his hurdlers here
Paddy Brennan is just 2 from 27 over hurdles here
3.10 – BetBright Mobile App Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m110y CH4
Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
2/3 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
2/3 – Aged 9 years-old
2/3 – Favourites
Nicky Henderson has a 36% record with his hurdlers at the track
Nicky Richards has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track
Peter Bowen is 0 from 23 with his hurdlers at the track
Barry Geraghty has a 32% record riding over hurdles at the track
Trevor Whelan is 1 from 20 riding over hurdles at the track
Tom Scudamore is just 1 from 25 riding over hurdles at the track

3.45 – BetBright Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f CH4

11/11 – Aged 8 or older
10/11 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
10/11 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/11 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/11 – Aged 9 or older
8/11 – Rated 131 or shorter
8/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/11 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
5/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
1/11 – Favourites
Night In Milan won this 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 9/2

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