Double Dutch, 3rd March 2015
Well, yesterday wasn’t the best way to start the month as the best we could manage was a pair of placers and a 2pt overall loss.
Needless Shouting was well backed (6/4 from 5/2), but was headed in the final strides to get beaten by a length at Fakenham with our other pick Response a disappointing 5th some 37 lengths further back.
And with only pride to play for later in the day at Southwell, the job was made harder by the withdrawal of Don’t Call Me Oscar (who I really fancied to go well), leaving just Zero Visibility to carry our hopes.
In the end, third place and a 7.5 length defeat was all he could muster on a day probably best forgotten for us.
Monday’s results were as follows:
Needless Shouting : 2nd at 6/4 (adv 5/2)
Response : u/p at 3/1 (adv 5/2)
Zero Visibility : 3rd at 5/2 (adv 3/1)
Don’t Call Me Oscar : non-runner at 2/1 (adv 2/1)
Results to date:
505 winning selections from 1763 = 28.64%
159 winning bets in 457 days = 34.79%
P/L : +106.40pts (+11.65% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Hopefully Tuesday will hold better fortunes for us via the…
Miniskirt (7/4 BOG) was a decent third at Chelmsford 12 days ago when stepping up in class to Class 3 for the first time, but now looks the one to beat returning to Southwell back at C4 on a track where she’s 2 from 2, with both races over today’s trip with winning margins of 8L and 9L! Trainer Rae Guest has a good record here at this track and Miniskirt is sure to be involved again today.
The biggest threat looks like coming from Westminster, who also drops down in class after a good run last time out. He was beaten by just half a length here at Southwell three weeks ago, when going down to stable mate Khajaaly, who was ridden by today’s jockey Andrew Mullen for that win.
Westminster beat the re-opposing track regular Kung Hei Fat Choy by some 6.5 lengths in that contest and would appear to hold the latter on that run. The yard seems to be in consistently good form and the jockey is also riding well (8/38 in the past month) and they’ll be keen to add to their tallies with an 11/4 BOG winner here.
If things go to plan, then this is all about Jac The Legend, who was a winning point-to-pointer but was pretty disappointing in 7 hurdles contests, making the frame just once. He was switched to chasing for the first time last time out, when he won by half a length having to battle gamely to hold off a rival who’s already got a win and a place from 2 efforts over fences.
That was at Catterick three weeks ago and not only will Jac The Legend come on for the experience, the drop back in trip to 3m should also help the cause, as at 2/1 BOG, he seeks to become the latest in a long line of Midnight Legend’s progeny to win over fences.
We (and he) should, however, be mindful of the 7/2 BOG Blue Kascade lurking at the bottom of the weights who has winning form in PTP, hurdles and chases, gets three miles and has performed best on good to soft ground. He was a winner at Ayr over fences three starts ago, despite the trip being unsuitably short for him, whilst he wasn’t disgraced in getting beaten by just three lengths in a far better race last time out.
In between those two races, he was unlucky to get bet by 20L into 3rd place at Musselburgh, after stumbling badly when contesting the lead 2 fences from home. It was testament to his (and his rider’s) will to win that he even got going again and although the race was instantly lost at that point, Blue Kascade at least managed to regain his composure to finish third despite conceding weight all round (unlike today!)
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Miniskirt / Jac The Legend @ 7.25/1 (7/4 & 2/1 : Coral)
Miniskirt / Blue Kascade @ 11.08/1 (13/8 & 18/5 : Betbright)
Westminster / Jac The Legend @ 10.25/1 (11/4 & 2/1 : Betfred, SkyBet & Stan James)
Westminster / Blue Kascade @ 16.48/1 (14/5 & 18/5 : Betbright)