Sat TV Trends – 14th March 2015

Cheltenham might be done for another year,  but the racing show goes on this Saturday – we’ve got the Midlands Grand National and the Lingfield Winter Derby, plus a decent jumps card at Kempton – We’ve got all the LIVE C4 races covered from a trends angle…….
Lingfield (ATR/C4)

 

2.30 – 32Red Spring Cup (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f1y CH4

11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
11/12 – Won between 1-3 times before in their career
11/12 – Placed favourites
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Raced at either Lingfield  (4), Newmarket (3) or Doncaster (2) last time out
9/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
8/12 – Had not won over 7f before
8/12 – Having their first run of the season
8/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Had won at Lingfield before
3/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/12 – Trained by Clive Brittain
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Hughes

3.05 – coral.co.uk Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f CH4

12/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
10/12 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Had run at Lingfield previously
9/12 – Won over at least 1m4f previously
9/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
9/12 – Had raced at either Lingfield (6) or Kempton (3) last time out
9/12 – Winning distance – less than a length
8/12 – Placed in their last race
8/12 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
8/12 – Won at Lingfield previously
7/12 – Came from the top 3 in the market
7/12 – Won their last race
7/12 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
7/12 – Won at least 6 times previously
5/12 – Favourites to win
2/12 – Trained by Clive Brittain
The average winning SP in the 12 renewals is 6/1

3.40 – Unibet Hever Sprint Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y

12/12 – Won over 5f before
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Had won at least 4 times in their career
9/12 – Had run at Lingfield before
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/12 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
6/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/12 – Had won at Lingfield before
6/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Aged 4 years-old
3/12 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
1/12 – Winning favourites

Uttoxeter (ATR/C4)

2.05 – Betfred “Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s” Novices´ Handicap Hurdle Cl4 2m CH4

8/8 – Failed to win last time out
7/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/8 – Carried 11-5 or less
6/8 – Had won at the trip before
5/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Placed 2nd, 3rd, 4th last time out
5/8 – Carried between 11-2 and 11-10
3/8 – Irish bred
3/8 – Had run at the track before (2 winners)
1/8 – Winning favourites

2.40 – Betfred TV Ltd Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 3m CH4

9/11 – Aged 8 or younger
8/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Rated 121 or less
8/11 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/11 – Carried 10-9 or more
8/11 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
8/11 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
7/11 – Placed last time out
7/11 – Returned 7/1 or less
6/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Aged 7 years-old
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
1/11 – Winning favourites

3.15 – Betfred “Home of Goals Galore” Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m4f110y CH4

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Only Three Previous Runnings
3/3 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
3/3 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
2/3 – Aged 8 years-old
Nicky Henderson has a 26% record at the track with his hurdlers
Charlie Longsdon has a 23% record at the track with his hurdlers

3.50 – Betfred Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y CH4

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger
10/11 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
10/11 – Carried 10-9 or less
9/11 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
9/11 – Officially rated 133 or less
9/11 – Won by an Irish bred horse
9/11 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
9/11 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
7/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
7/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
4/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Trained by David Pipe
2/11 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 11/1

Kempton (RUK/C4)

1.45 – 888sport.com Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m CH4

7/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/8 – Carried 11-0 or less
6/8 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
5/8 – Won at least once over fences before
4/8 – Won 3 or more times before over fences
4/8 – Won last time out
2/8 – Winning favourites

2.20 – Kempton Park 888sport.com Silver Plate (A Handicap Hurdle) Cl2 2m5f CH4

Only one previous running
Neil Mulholland won the race 12 months ago
Jim Best has a 44% record with his hurdlers at the track
Venetia Williams is just 1 from 31 with her hurdlers at the track
Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Barry Geragthty has a 29% record when riding over hurdles here

3.30 – Kempton Park 888sport.com Silver Bowl (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m4f110y CH4

Only one previous running
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Webber has a 24% record with his chasers at the track

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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More great winners this week…………………………

“Mr Red Clubs – Third here last time – same mark give him a great chance again, but does need to prove himself over this trip as all wins to date have been over shorter – that said, I don’t see that being a massive issue as has run well over further than a mile in the past, so worth another go, especially on this track. Decent place chance.”
Mick Appleby 12/03/15 2nd 8/1

“Coco Des Champs – She is a big filly who is continually growing. She is going well at home and Ben Ffrench Davis takes off a valuable 10Ib. The track and trip will suit. “
Oliver Sherwood 12/03/15 2nd 16/1

“Katie Gale – Easy winner last time out. Has to cope with 9lb rise and drop in trip. But can’t see either being a massive factor and should take all the beating again.”
Mick Appleby 11/03/15 1st 8/15

“Layline – Well beaten last time behind Katie Gale, but the horse seems better now and is flying at home. The jockey gets on well with him and we expect to give Mick’s horse a run for it’s money today, especially back in trip.”
Gay Kelleway 11/03/15 2nd 11/2

“Showtime Star: CD winner here at the track – step back up to 6f a plus. The Appleby horse might be improving, but we come here wth a fair e/w chance.”
Gay Kelleway 10/03/15 1st 3/1

“Dino Mite: Is improving slowly and would have an e/w chance here, but will ultimately be better off in handicaps down the line.”
Jamie Snowden 09/03/15 1st 9/2

“Tanit River – Into handicap company for the first time. That’s a big help and not on a bad mark either. Has improved since his last run in December and at a fair e/w price I think he can go well.”
Tim Vaughan 08/03/15 1st 14/1

“Rayvin Black – He has to improve today, he’s in great order at home and loves the track. He carries bottom weight and hopeful of good run.”
Oliver Sherwood 07/03/15 2nd 33/1

“Financial Climate: He ran a great race to win at Chepstow. He’s a genuine horse who rarely runs a bad race, I’m hopeful of a good run.”
Oliver Sherwood 07/03/15 1st 11/2

 

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