Stat of the Day, 19th March 2015
Varsovian provided our second winner on the bounce as the greenshoots of recovery threaten to poke their heads out, but it looked for much of the race that he was going to be beaten.
He was slowly away and out at the back looking for gaps in the pack. He had the door shut on him approaching the furlong pole and I honestly though that was game over for us, but Jimmy Quinn was excellent to spot the danger and a gap up against the rail, switched inside and kicked for home.
He swallowed up the final furlong and just about got himself front to score by a neck at our advised 11/4 odds. With a start like I expected, he’d have won comfortably, but he might just have protected his mark here!
I’m not sure where this week has gone, as it’s time to pick Thursday’s runner already and that one runs in the…
And a 9/4 BOG bet on Stuart Williams’ Rock Charm.
Stuart Williams’ record in A/W handicaps since he start of 2012 is pretty good indeed with 57 winners from 300 runners (19% SR) and level stakes profits of 46.9pts equating to a more than respectable 15.6% return on your money.
Those runners sent off at odds of 6/4 to 7/1 are 38/154 (24.7% SR) for 44pts (+28.6% ROI) profit.
He has booked Andrea Atzeni for the ride here and Andrea’s own record here at this track is 7/50 (14% SR) for profits of 51.7pts (+103.4% ROI) with sub-7/1 handicap runners contributing 4 winners from 14 (28.6% SR) and 18.9pts (+134.9% ROI) profit.
Stuart tends to have some success when Andrea rides his horses too, as together they are 20/111 (18% SR) for 24.5pts (+22.1% ROI) profit, with the A/W proving to be the happiest hunting ground with 14 winners from 58 (24.1% SR) for 19.2pts (+33.2% ROI) profit.
Rock Charm has finished 133 in his last three starts, all over today’s 1m trip too. The win was a course and distance victory here a little over six weeks ago and his third placed effort last time out was the pick of his runs, so he’s clearly in good form.
Andrea Atzeni was on board for the first time last time out when beaten by a little over three lengths in a claimer, when horribly treated at the weights. The winner was rated 8lbs higher than Rock Charm, but carried a stone less than our runner, whilst the runner-up also had some 9lbs in hand that day too.
Back in a handicap today and off a reasonable mark of 57, he looks poised to resume winning ways, so I’m on Rock Charm at 9/4 BOG with BetVictor. That price is also currently available with Bet365 and Betfair’s Sportsbook.
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