Double Dutch, 23rd March 2015
The least said about Saturday’s DD, the better. 2nd and 3rd in leg one, and 5th / brought down in leg two makes for frustrating reading, especially when Shuilamach was travelling like the winner when brought down.
Anyway, it’s a loser and we move on to Monday’s fare…
Saturday’s results were as follows:
Hassle : 3rd at 6/5 (adv 15/8)
King’s Tempest: 2nd at 5/4 (adv 5/4)
Shuilamach: BD at 10/3 (adv 4/1)
Kindly Vinnie: 5th at 10/3 (adv 7/2)
Results to date:
522 winning selections from 1830 = 28.52%
163 winning bets in 474 days = 34.39%
P/L : +111.67pts (+11.79% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
A quick fire double today, starting in the West Country shortly after 3pm…
Three of them with realistic chances, so something has to give. The favourite is Robert Waley-Cohen’s Makadamia, ridden by son, Sam. A winner of two of her last three starts – a novice hurdle and a novices’ handicap chase – she was pulled up in between when the race possibly came a bit too soon.
The step up to this trip helped her get home the last day, and she’s an obvious improver despite the addition of seven pounds for that victory.
Sidestepping second favourite, Quite By Chance, who looks a lot more exposed than the two selections, I’ll add Taradrewe to the ticket. I was at Anthony Honeyball’s stable yesterday, and he said she’s in great fettle. This is her chasing debut, and she’s schooled cleverly without being bold at her fences. That may stand her in good stead and she certainly looks capable of stepping forward on an initial rating of 115. The faster the ground the better, so conditions should be perfect.
We look to a lowly seller to round out the double, and I make it between the top two in the betting this time. David Simcock’s Manipulation has obviously had his problems: just three starts with a year and a half in between a turf win and a comeback run at Chelmsford a month ago. But that should have blown away any cobwebs, and he’s the highest rated in the field with the most scope for progression. Market support implies he retains ability and he must be on the slip.
If he falls short of what’s expected, Al Muheer is a reliable alternative in this grade. Now ten, he has no scope to improve but has credible if frustrating track form, especially in this grade. He’s been second on his last three visits to Dunstall Park, and this could be the day he goes one better, with trainer Tom Dascombe having an excellent long term record there.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Makadamia / Manipulation @ 6.92/1 (15/8 & 7/4 : PP)
Makadamia / Al Muheer @ 9.8/1 (15/8 & 11/4 : Bet Victor)
Taradrewe / Manipulation @ 14.13/1 (9/2 & 7/4 : totesport)
Taradrewe / Al Muheer @ 19.63/1 (9/2 & 11/4 : totesport)