Stat of the Day, 26th March 2015
They say you can’t eat value and, if you’re hungry at a given point in time, they’re right. But if storing up nuts for the winter, then value is the only way to go.
Before you think I’ve been boozing with Eric Cantona (again), let me clarify. Wednesday’s selection, Troopingthecolour, was the subject of sustained heavy support, eventually sent off the 15/8 second favourite. That compares, well, rather favourably with the 7/1 that was advised.
The hungry will point to the fact it lost. Those with full larders, aggregated off numerous successful value forays to the market, will nod to the intent and move on merrily. There is only one way to long-term profit, and Stat of the Day is a season ticket to that particular destination.
Enough Eric, and to Thursday, and the long jaunt (for most) to West Wales for the…
Ffos Las, or Ffos Las Vegas as I like to call it, is not everyone’s cup of tea. But for me it’s been a consistent source of winners since it opened; and I’m hoping that continues here, courtesy of Rebecca Curtis… or perhaps that should be Curtis-y of Rebecca Curtis.
Punning aside, let’s look at the numbers. Our ‘becca is a bit of a whizz with handicap first timers as she again proved at Bangor on Saturday when Binge Drinker, 6/1 early, won readily at 10/3. In the past year, Rebecca has run 16 horses in handicaps for the first time: five won, three more were placed. The winners were worth 14.33 points profit, and each way backers collected to the tune of 14.85 units (from double the stakes, win/place).
Ms Curtis’ form at the Ffos in the past year is equally impressive – in fact it’s more impressive. She’s won with 11 of her 34 runners on the site of the former coal mines, and placed with another ten. Profits for those winners amounted to 22.41 points.
The horse in question this time is Golden Milan, having his first run for 305 days and for the first time in a handicap. As Rebecca likes to do these days, she’s employed crack Irish pilot, Paul Townend, to take care of the steering. When they’ve partnered up in the past year, it’s been worth seven wins (35%) and a further seven places (70%) from just 20 runners. Win profits were 34.21 and each way returns scaled 46.69 points. Nice work.
Golden Milan could have improved in the ten months since he last raced and, while fitness is taken on trust, he’s an each way sort of a price. Indeed, he’s a general 8/1 as I write, and I’m splitting my stake win and place – each way a pleasure – for this one. Do make sure that’s still the top price by…
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