Double Dutch, 26th March 2015
More agitation here at geegeez towers after One Life Live It took leg two yesterday. Yes, of course he was my other possible in that race, having taken solid ‘line of blue’ support on the odds comparison site at the time I was writing things up.
That he drifted out to an SP of 12/1 was insult to injury, and it was another lost pair of points on the day, Earthmoves having seen off the odds on favourite in leg one. Sigh.
Wednesday’s results were as follows:
Earthmoves: WON at 2/1 (adv 11/4)
Drumlee Lad: 3rd at 4/1 (adv 5/2)
Callac: 4th at 10/11 (adv 6/5)
Valentine Mist: 6th at 8/1 (adv 6/1)
Results to date:
525 winning selections from 1841 = 28.52%
163 winning bets in 477 days = 34.17%
P/L : +107.11pts (+11.23% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
We don’t hide here at geegeez, and our persistence will pay off, hopefully this afternoon in an all weather pair, starting with the…
This is a pretty good race, and it could get tactical, so a pace presser is a must. There are three that could go on, but clear preference is for Sbraase, a horse yet to be out of the frame in six spins around Dunstall Park. He’s won two of them and looks to be improving as a four year old. Trainer James Tate hasn’t had many runners recently, but his last two have both won.
If he is tapped for toe, I suspect it will be by Jacobs Son, Mick Appleby’s gelding being capable of running some very quick times. Although he’s run two clunkers in his two starts at this track, they can be forgiven: one was over five furlongs further than this, and the other was over a quarter mile further, three years ago.
At today’s distance on the all weather, his form reads 213311222, a string which implies he ought to be bang there at the finish.
If we survive leg one, we’ll await the evening shift and a mile fillies’ handicap at the former Great Leighs track. Prominent racers have had a clear edge here thus far, which makes tonight’s encounter interesting as none of the six runners have led in any of their last four starts!
However, pick of the prominent players looks to be Bint Dandy, ridden by the savvy Silvestre de Sousa. He’s a fine judge of pace and I wouldn’t be surprised if he tried to lead from his inside post position.
Bint Dandy is already a winner here – two starts ago – and actually drops in class from that run.
Against her is the dropping in trip, India’s Song. She represents David Simcock’s in form string, and has been running out of steam at ten furlongs. This quarter mile shorter race ought to suit well, and she too is already a course winner here.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Sbraase / Bint Dandy @ 7.75/1 (6/4 & 5/2: Coral)
Sbraase / India’s Song @ 13/2 (6/4 & 2/1: Coral)
Jacobs Son/ Bint Dandy @ 25.4/1 (7/1 & 23/10: Betbright)
Jacobs Son/ India’s Song @ 22.2/1 (7/1 & 19/10: Betbright)