Double Dutch, 27th March 2015
Well, let’s be honest, that wasn’t much of anything yesterday. But it did at least stop the rot, and claw back a few shekels from the past couple of days. Sbraase looks to have a lot of talent but may be unable to match that with resolution: he swooped by Two Jabs as though he’d win five lengths, but in the end was only three quarters too good for Raymond Tooth’s returning horse.
Leg two was largely as called: Bint Dandy was given a choice pace-controlling ride by Silvestre de Sousa and repelled the late charges by a length and a bit. So we chipped a little away with that 7.75/1 double, and we go again for Friday…
Thursday’s results were as follows:
Sbraase: WON at 11/8 (adv 6/4)
Jacobs Son: 4th at 11/1 (adv 7/1)
Bint Dandy: WON at 15/8 (adv 5/2)
India’s Song: 4th at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Results to date:
527 winning selections from 1845 = 28.56%
164 winning bets in 478 days = 34.31%
P/L : +109.49pts (+11.46% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
A Leafy Lingfield double this afternoon that’s a bit higher on risk than normal…
Plenty with chances on the face of it, as 4/1 the field suggests. But two with excellent records on this track are Pactolus and Lady Marl.
Pactolus won over seven furlongs in this grade here two starts back, and the step up to a mile looks fine. That was his only race here so he’s open to improvement. Trainer Stuart Williams is in cracking form with three winners and six more placed horses from just twelve runners in the past fortnight, this chap could enhance that recent record still further.
Lady Marl is also one from one at the track, and that was a class and distance win last time out. She’s recorded the fastest speed figure in the race and, with confirmed front runner Boogangoo to shoot at, it could be quick again. She’ll probably need a bit of luck in running, but she’s perfectly capable of winning if the splits come.
If we survive leg one, there will still be more danger to navigate in this competitive five furlong sprint. Favourite Brother Tiger looks the most likely winner, his last time out course and distance win being his third from five starts at the track. Two of those were over this trip and in this grade too, so there is little for him to prove.
If he falters, Picansort is one of a few with live chances of picking up the pieces. He’s a bit of a gamble horse, rarely winning when the money is not down, and there’s been cash for him this morning. His record in course/distance/class handicaps is impressive: 211415 and he will be flying at the finish.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Pactolus/ Brother Tiger @ 20/1 (6/1 & 2/1: Skybet)
Pactolus/ Picansort @ 33.5/1 (13/2 & 7/2: Betbright)
Lady Marl/ Brother Tiger @ 13.4/1 (4/1 & 15/8: SJ)
Lady Marl/ Picansort @ 21.5/1 (4/1 & 7/2: totesport)