Double Dutch, 28th March 2015
It’s been a dull week here on Double Dutch, and those happen as regular players will know. Yesterday’s double was sunk by the tactical disaster of Boogangoo, the sole pace angle, fluffing the start completely. Our pair, both of whom were nominated for their ability to gun down fast fractions, were adrift when the sprint for the line began, and got no better than fourth.
In leg two, the Tiger won well. To Saturday, and our last chance of redemption this week…
Friday’s results were as follows:
Pactolus: 5th at 9/2 (adv 13/2)
Lady Marl: 4th at 5/1 (adv 4/1)
Brother Tiger: WON at 5/4 (adv 2/1)
Picansort: 7th at 6/1 (adv 7/2)
Results to date:
528 winning selections from 1849 = 28.56%
164 winning bets in 479 days = 34.24%
P/L : +107.49pts (+11.23% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Navan times two this afternoon for an Irish slant (or slainte) on proceedings…
It’s 11/1 bar two here, which tells you all you need to know about the ‘looking to the future’ nature of most of the maiden hurdlers in this field. The two who are expecting to compete are Sizing Titanium and Little Rocky.
Sizing Titanium has had a few tries, notably when second to Wildebeest last time, and his form has been franked without being spectacular. Two horses close behind that day have placed since which, in the context of this race, is about as good as it gets.
Little Rocky is already rated 119, a figure that plenty in here will never reach in their careers, but he’s an eight race maiden over hurdles. That octet of runs includes some really solid form lines however (three lengths behind Bentelimar on one occasion, a neck behind Clondaw Court on another). If he’s over the fall he suffered last time then he could go close, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he tries to make all.
The long awaited return of one time Gold Cup favourite, Flemenstar, in this Grade 2 novice chase over 2m4f. This is his trip and his ground, but he’s been off for 503 days, and connections might just have an eye to Punchestown rather than today. Still, he was a very high class animal when last seen, and is rated accordingly: almost a stone better than these. If he’s fit and retains his ability, he will win.
If he isn’t, then Felix Yonger is easily the most likely beneficiary. Another two and a half mile specialist, Felix was one of the leading novice chasers of last season, and has added a Grade 2 in a quiet season (just three runs). He comes here fresh and represents the Mullins/Walsh superpower axis.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Sizing Titanium/ Felix Yonger @ 5.57/1 (6/4 & 13/8: Racebets)
Sizing Titanium/ Flemenstar @ 10.25/1 (6/4 & 7/2: Coral)
Little Rocky/ Felix Yonger @ 10.41/1 (10/3 & 13/8: Racebets)
Little Rocky/ Flemenstar @ 17/1 (3/1 & 7/2: Coral)