Double Dutch, 1st April 2015
The first leg yesterday summed up the way it’s going at the moment, with Mrs Peachey leading all the way under a great ride from David Bass, only to be nailed on the run in, eventually finishing a two length third. Of course, our other pick was second.
A new month and, though April can be as tricky as it is transitional (and for that reason), we don’t entertain defeatism here at Geegeez Towers!
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Ultimatum Du Roy: 2nd at 5/6 (adv 11/10)
Mrs Peachey: 3rd at 7/2 (adv 2/1)
Shearian: 3rd at 9/2 (adv 10/3)
Risk N’Reward: 7th at 7/1 (adv 7/1)
Results to date:
531 winning selections from 1861 = 28.53%
165 winning bets in 482 days = 34.23%
P/L : +104.77pts (+10.87% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
I quite liked the look of Scorpion Sting here, for the in form combination of David Irving and James Ewart. He’s not a frequent winner but two miles on good ground should fit well and he’s got more upside than most in this field after just nine career starts (Crouching Harry has already had 33!).
He should go well, but faces a strong threat from last time out course, distance, class and going winner, Mighty Mambo. A winner in any context must have a chance in this poor race, and Lawney Hill’s lad has won two of his last four hurdle starts, with marked steps up in trip and grade respectively credible excuses for defeats in between. I like his prominent running style and he must be thereabouts again today.
I expect that in-form James Tate’s Clampdown will probably win this. He’s progressive, won going away last time, and is a prominent racer drawn one. That’s a heady cocktail in a race such as this as a track such as this, and his shortish price is fully justified.
Against him, I quite like Three Gracez but might just need the run more than Michael Bell’s handicap debutant, My Strategy. Not beaten far in his three maiden spins, a break to tighten the screws and the return to a mile, for which he’s bred, looks spot on. It’s easy to see why he’s been tickled early, and any more cash for him might lead to a drift for the one with form in the book already.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Scorpion Sting/ Clampdown @ 7.3/1 (5/2 & 11/8 : Betfair sportsbook)
Scorpion Sting / My Strategy @ 13/1 (5/2 & 3/1: Betfair sportsbook)
Mighty Mambo / Clampdown @ 7.3/1 (5/2 & 11/8 : Betfair sportsbook)
Mighty Mambo / My Strategy @ 14/1 (11/4 & 3/1: Coral)