Sat TV Trends: 4th April 2015

It’s off to Haydock and Kempton for the LIVE C4 action this Saturday – we’ve got each race covered from a trends angle.

 

KEMPTON (RUK/C4)

2.15 – Betfred “Goals Galore Extra” Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

2 previous runnings
Both winners aged 4 years-old
No winning favourites
Karl Burke won the race 12 months ago
Marco Botti won the race 2 years ago
Michael Bell has a 32% record with his older runners here
Philip McBride has a 21% record with his older runners here
Roger Ingram is just 4 from 68 with his older runners here
David Elsworth is just 2 from 34 with his older runners here
Jamie Spencer has a 24% record riding older horses here
Cam Hardie is just 3 from 41 riding older horses here

2.50 – Betfred Mobile Lotto Snowdrop Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m CH4

10/11 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/11 – Ran 4 ½ months or more ago
9/11 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/11 – From the top three in the betting
9/11 – Won by a 4 year-old
9/11 – Won over at least 1m previously
9/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Rated between 90-102
7/11 – Favourites placed
6/11 – Unplaced last time out
6/11 – Rated 96 or lower
5/11– Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Favourites placed
4/11 – Favourites
4/11 – Had raced at Kempton previously
2/11 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
1/11 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 4/1

3.25 – Betfred “Racing´s Biggest Supporter” Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl2 1m CH4

9/9 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/9 – Raced at either Kempton or Lingfield last time out
8/9 – Winning distance 1 ¾l or less
8/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/9 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
7/9 – Ran at Kempton before (3 won)
7/9 – Won over a mile previously
6/9 – Returned 13/2 or bigger
6/9 – Priced between 13/2 and 12/1
6/9 – Won 3 or more times before
5/9 – Drawn in stall 4 or less
4/9 – Ran within the last 2 weeks
2/9 – Favourites
2/9 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/9 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 7/1

Haydock (RUK/C4)

2.00 – 888sport Tim Molony Handicap Chase Cl3 3m4f CH4

8/8 – Failed to win last time out
8/8 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/8 – Won over at least 3m previously
7/8 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Won between 1-2 (fences) times previously
6/8 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
5/8 – Aged between 7 or 8 years-old
5/8 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
4/8 – Favourites unplaced
3/8 – Irish bred
1/8 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 7/1

2.35 – Connolly´s Red Mills “Precision Nutrition” Series Handicap Hurdle Final Cl2 2m4f CH4

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8/8 – Carried 10-8 or more in weight
8/8 – Won between 1-2 times previously (hurdles)
7/8 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
7/8 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
6/8 – Favourites placed
6/8 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Unplaced in their last race
4/8 – Favourites
3/8 – Won their last race
3/8 – Won over 2m4f (hurdles) previously
2/8 – German bred
2/8 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/8 – Trained by Donald McCain
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 15/2

3.10 – 888sport.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m CH4

1 previous running
No Planning won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 31% record with his chasers at the course
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 3 from 44 with her chasers at the course
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2 from 42 with his chasers at the course

3.45 – 888sport Handicap Chase (The Jockey Club Grassroots Chase Series Final) Cl2 2m6f CH4

3 previous runnings
No winning favourites
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2 from 42 with his chasers at the course
Trainer Venetia Williamsis just 3 from 44 with her chasers here
Tom Cannon is 2 from 3 riding over fences here

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Trainers Quotes

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“Remind Me Later: Got fair share of weight. Promising first run but disappointing second run. If repeating his first run, should have reasonable e/w claims.”
Gary Moore

31/03/15 1st 10/1

“We’ve always liked Kassis and she ran well off this mark last time out at Plumpton when I really fancied her. This looks a stronger race, but she’s in good form at home and I think she should run another decent race.”
Jamie Snowden

30/03/15 1st 5/1

“Puffin Billy: In good order – does have to give weight away all round but is very well after his recent confidence booster at Leicester. This will be harder, but the rain that’s come is a big plus and that will also be against the favourite. Obviously just hope he jumps round as had has his problems, but if he does comes here with a big chance with track and ground in his favour.”
Oliver Sherwood

29/03/15 1st 5/4

“Walk Like A Giant: Brian Ellison and Tony Carroll have good records in this race so their runners are respected. Our horse comes here in fine fettle from the AW and is still fairly lightly-raced. Yet to win on the turf, but only had 3 runs. Expected to make presence felt as long as the horse can settle as can run a tad free. We’ll try and switch him off and if that’s the case probably rates our best chance on a tricky day.”
Mick Appleby

28/03/15 1st 4/1

“Ashford Wood: Had been under the weather and had a few problems, but seems better now. Doesn’t look the best of races so dropping in grade here helps us. Drop back in trip a plus too and ground not an issue. Fair e/w chance.”
Tim Vaughan

28/03/15 1st 11/2

“Akula: Back over hurdles here after running on the AW last time. If he runs to the form of his third at Market Rasen on Boxing Day then a decent chance. We take off 7lbs too with Alan John’s claim. Fit and well, and with think ready to rumble – well handicapped so has a decent chance today.”
Tim Vaughan

28/03/15 1st 4/1

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