Double Dutch, 14th April 2015
We were half a length shy of a cross channel hunter chase double on Monday, after Crazy Diamond narrowly failed to win on his racecourse debut at the age of 11, despite being heavily backed into 11/8 favouritism. He gave a really good show of himself, though and was only headed late on, but the slender margin of defeat was enough to scupper our double.
Later, in the evening, Lord Fingal wasn’t allowed to dominate at Tramore, but he did assert his superiority eventually, before staying on well to score by 7 lengths at 2/1 (adv 5/2).
Monday’s results were as follows:
Crazy Diamond: 2nd at 11/8 (adv 13/8)
Kalastar: u/p at 7/2 (adv 7/2)
Lord Fingal: WON at 2/1 (adv 5/2)
Asithappens: u/p at 12/1 (adv 6/1)
Results to date:
545 winning selections from 1903 = 28.64%
169 winning bets in 493 days = 34.28%
P/L : +104.64pts (+10.62% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
After a couple of blank days, I’ll be looking for a return to winning ways on Tuesday via these races…
Abi Scarlet absolutely loves it here, transforming a career record of 9/31 into 9/19 at this track, 8/14 over course and distance and over C&D at this Class 6 level her record reads 12112 wit the defeats coming by a head and a neck and these numbers make her a perfect starting point.
She was only narrowly beaten by Tarooq (who was winning for the 3rd time in 4 races) by a neck last time out here in a claimer, despite being a stone wrong in the weights, but now looks very well treated off 70 and is set to go well again at 5/2 BOG.
The other defeat in that five race C&D sequence was by a head in this very race last year, when beaten by the re-opposing Spitfire and although the 10 yr old hasn’t won any of his nine races since, he has been knocking on the door of late, returning as a narrowly beaten runner-up in three of his four races this year, so the signs of a return to form are there.
He’s also a 3 times course and distance winner and arrives here to find himself much better off at the weights with Abi Scarlet than he was for this contest last year and is now priced up at 9/4 BOG for a follow-up effort.
Vodka n Tonic really should have won last time out at Taunton, but just didn’t find anything when pressured on the run in, going down by a short head as he was caught near the line. No disrespect to his claimer jockey from that day, but with Nico de Boinville in the saddle today, I feel he won’t be given as much work to do from off the pace and that Nico might just get a little bit more out of him at 13/8 BOG.
Classical Art comes here on the back of a first win over hurdles at the sixth attempt, when just getting up on the line to force a dead heat at Taunton twelve days ago, showing some of the speed he possesses from having had eight outings on the flat.
A stiffer track and a slightly more prominent ride might well be all that’s needed to capitalise on that return to form and with a little doubt over the favourite’s desire in a battling finish, Classical Art’s ground speed might prove decisive, leading to a follow-up win at 11/4 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Spitfire / Vodka n Tonic @ 6.88/1 (2/1 & 13/8 : BetVictor & Hills)
Spitfire / Classical Art @ 10.25/1 (2/1 & 11/4 : Hills & SkyBet)
Abi Scarlet / Vodka n Tonic @ 8.19/1 (5/2 & 13/8 : BetVictor & Hills)
Abi Scarlet / Classical Art @ 12.13/1 (5/2 & 11/4 : Hills & SkyBet)