Double Dutch, 16th April 2015
Wednesday picked up where Tuesday left off with another couple of albeit fairly short priced winners.
Firstly over in Ireland, Sacrificial got the better of a very tight three way scrap for the prize, finishing just a neck and a nose ahead of our other selection Gulf of Poets, who was third home.
That gave us two shots at glory over at Kempton and the heavily backed (10/11 SP from out 6/4 BOG) Wakea had a stroll, making all to win by a couple of lengths with Ridgeway Storm some 4 lengths back in 4th place.
All in all, a decent day and a 13/2 BOG double that would only have paid 9/2 at SP. You’ve got to take the prices!
Wednesday’s results were as follows:
Sacrificial: WON at 15/8 (adv 2/1)
Gulf of Poets: 3rd at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Wakea: WON at 10/11 (adv 6/4)
Ridgeway Storm: 4th at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Results to date:
549 winning selections from 1910 = 28.74%
171 winning bets in 495 days = 34.55%
P/L : +108.85pts (+11.00% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
We’re now aiming for a hat-trick of successes via the following…
Team Skelton (Dan & Harry) are a force to be reckoned with and in the 15/8 BOG Stephanie Frances, I’d expect them to landing yet another winner. She was a winner on Good to firm ground on her debut and has also won on soft ground, but it is thought that today’s conditions would be ideal for her based on the improvement shown on good to soft last time out, when winning comfortably at Ludlow four weeks ago.
Stephanie Frances beat Wicklow Brave on that debut run and with nothing in this field of that calibre, she does look the standout horse here today, but I do expect Twentytwos Taken to give her a run for her money. Prior to a 7th place finish over 2m5f in a strong Newbury contest last time out, she hadn’t failed to make the first two home in six efforts, all over 16/17 furlongs.
She ran far too freely at Newbury and the drop back in trip is sure to help where she can possibly be given her head a little more. The Pipe/Scudamore team are also ones to keep an eye on and although they’ve been a little quiet of late, did have a winner at Exeter on Tuesday after a disappointing Aintree Festival. If you like Twentytwos Taken here, she’s an attractive 4/1 BOG in most places.
This race seems to revolve around whether Secret Brief handles the step up from 7f to 10f. I think he will, his breeding suggests he will and if he does, 2/1 BOG might actually look a little generous. He’s no stranger to this track having finished 116 here in his final three runs of last season, before a 6 month break. He landed two big-money Class 2 events like today’s race, before finishing last of 6 in the Dewhurst in mid-October.
That Dewhurst run was no disaster/disgrace, for although he was last home of 6, it was a massive step up in class and he was only beaten by 7 lengths and it might also have just been one run too many as his 6th run in 11 weeks. I’m happy to overlook that run as he drops back in class and Secret Brief is my pick here today.
Rocky Rider, on the other hand, is the only runner in this field with a win over today’s trip, albeit in a Class 4 event on Chelmsford’s A/W track. It did, however, prove that he gets the trip and that he had emerged from the winter fit and well.
That run was four weeks ago and came 164 days after his previous run, which was a win on turf at Windsor over 8.5f. I don’t think he’s of the quality of Secret brief, but he’s fit, in-form and gets the trip and those factors make Rocky Rider a great backup at 7/2 BOG with Boylesports.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Stephanie Frances / Secret Brief @ 7.63/1 (15/8 & 2/1 : Betfred, Ladbrokes & Stan James)
Stephanie Frances / Rocky Rider @ 11.38/1 (7/4 & 7/2 : Boylesports)
Twentytwos Taken / Secret Brief @ 14/1 (4/1 & 2/1 : generally)
Twentytwos Taken / Rocky Rider @ 21.50/1 (4/1 & 7/2 : Boylesports)