Double Dutch, 17th April 2015
Thursday started really well with yet another winner for the Skeltons and with Stephanie Frances drifting out from our advised 15/8 to 9/4 at the off, a near 14/1 double was on the cards if Rocky Rider was successful in leg 2.
As it was, he could only manage third place, beaten by just a neck and a head having been passed deep inside the final furlong.
Some days you get on the right side of a tight finish and sometimes you don’t. That’s racing!
Wednesday’s results were as follows:
Stephanie Frances: WON at 9/4 (adv 15/8)
Twentytwos Taken: 4th at 5/2 (adv 4/1)
Rocky Rider: 3rd at 7/4 (adv 7/2)
Secret Brief: 8th at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Results to date:
550 winning selections from 1914 = 28.74%
171 winning bets in 496 days = 34.48%
P/L : +106.85pts (+10.78% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Friday hopefully gets us back on track with these…
Winters Moon sets the standard here after 4 promising runs last term. She won on debut over 7f before finishing 3rd, 4th and 3rd again in Gr3, Listed and Gr1 contests, culminating in her half length defeat in the Group 1 Fillies Mile last October. She didn’t get a clear run that day, but came very close to landing an upset at 20/1.
Whilst this is a decent contest, there isn’t anything here of the same quality as last time out and she looks a likely 15/8 BOG winner for the in-form, course specialist Saeed bin Suroor.
Next best here and backup selection is likely to be the similarly 15/8 BOG priced Ooty Hill, who was impressive enough when winning by almost 2.5 lengths on his sole run to date over 7f at Newmarket last October. This colt by Dubawi is a half-brother to useful 12f winner Dare To Achieve and seems to have scope for plenty of improvement.
And it could well pay to side with another Dan Skelton chaser in the guise of Popaflora at 5/2 BOG. A quick glance at his recent form might not be too inspiring, but he is a former course and distance winner and there’s no doubting that his yard are bang in form.
Closer inspection of his own performances show that he has been running at trips of 2m 4.5f and beyond and running out of steam of late, whilst all his best form has been at 2m 4f and shorter, suggesting that the drop back to today’s trip down 2 classes would be ideal, as would the better ground.
If things don’t however go Popaflora’s way, then That’s Ben will seek to repeat his win at Plumpton from 12 days ago. It has been suggested that his rivals weren’t up to much that day, but you can only beat what you’re presented with and he still had to jump, all the fences.
He’s effectively 3lbs well in despite a penalty for that win which was his second run after a wind operation, the first being a much needed run after a year off the track. He’s back out quickly and could well win again at 5/2 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Ooty Hill / Popaflora @ 9.06/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : SkyBet)
Ooty Hill / That’s Ben @ 9.06/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : SkyBet)
Winters Moon / Popaflora @ 9.06/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : SkyBet)
Winters Moon / That’s Ben @ 9.06/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : BetVictor, Paddy Power & Stan James)