Double Dutch, 20th April 2015
No winners on Saturday as the week ended on a disappointing note. Race favourite Ivawood failed to sparkle in the Greenham Stakes at Newbury, finishing third at 13/8 and beaten by five lengths with backup selection Belardo trooping home 8th of the 9 runners, beaten by almost 14 lengths on the day.
This meant there was little to play for at Bangor, which is just as well, ad Bearly Legal and Degooch were beaten into 2nd & 4th places respectively, 10 & 12 lengths adrift of the comfortable winner.
Saturday’s results were as follows:
Ivawood: 3rd at 13/8 (adv 13/8)
Belardo: u/p at 7/1 (adv 6/1)
Bearly Legal: 2nd at 5/2 (adv 15/8)
Degooch: 4th at 11/4 (adv 3/1)
Results to date:
550 winning selections from 1922 = 28.62%
171 winning bets in 498 days = 34.34%
P/L : +102.85pts (+10.33% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Monday is the start of a new week and six more opportunities to put some points on the board….
Ganbei‘s form in hunter chases (FF) might not inspire confidence, but he’s 8/20 in PTP races and returns to racecourse activity almost a year since he fell at Bangor after the 4th last fence. That came seven weeks after his run in the Foxhunters at the 2014 Cheltenham Festival, where he was in the process of running a big race and in with every chance at 66/1 before coming down 3 out in a traditionally attritional race.
Since those two falls last spring, he has returned to PTP races and with a win last time out, it appears his confidence is back and his jumping seems sound again. Don’t get me wrong, he’s not guaranteed to get round, but if he and Harry Bannister (excellent jockey) stay upright, then the 3/1 BOG from Paddy Power could be appealing.
He would, however, have to get the better of Beggars Velvet to win this one. Beggars velvet won a Class 4 Hunters Chase at Kelso last May and his next visit to a track was at the start of February this year when 6th of 8 in a very warm Class 2 contest. He has since won two of three PTP contests and is clearly in good heart, suggesting that he’s the most likely to succeed here at 7/4 BOG, especially when you consider there isn’t much to beat here as it is a Class 6 contest, representing quite a drop in grade for him.
Princess Roania comes here as a bumper winner on debut at Taunton despite looking very green at times. She’s sure to come on for the experience gained that day and the booking of the in-form Sean Bowen is a positive move, not only from an ability perspective, but also because he can take three pounds off her back.
The switch back to mares’ only racing is also a bonus here and I wouldn’t be too surprised if Princess Roania won again at 7/2 BOG to further enhance her trainer’s good record at this track. The one she’ll need to beat would surely be racecourse debutant La Bague Au Roi (The King’s Ring?) who represents the Warren Greatrex yard.
Warren is one of the best trainers around at getting first timers ready for bumper races and his overall record in bumpers is fantastic. As is often/usually the case, he has turned to the trusty Gavin Sheehan to do the steering today and not only do they have a great record together, Gavin is 10/42 at this track and all things considered, it’s easy to understand why La Bague Au Roi is 7/4 BOG here.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Beggars Velvet / La Bague Au Roi @ 5.89/1 (13/8 & 13/8 : Betfred)
Beggars Velvet / Princess Roania @ 11.38/1 (7/4 & 7/2 : SkyBet)
Ganbei / La Bague Au Roi @ 9.50/1 (3/1 & 13/8 : Paddy & BetVictor)
Ganbei / Princess Roania @ 17/1 (3/1 & 7/2 : BetVictor)