Sat TV Trends: 25th April 2015

A busy weekend ahead as the C4 cameras head to Sandown Park for their Bet365 Gold Cup fixture, while they also take in a race each at Ripon and Haydock. We’ve got all the big-race trends for the LIVE C4 contests………………..


SANDOWN (C4/RUK)


2.00 – bet365 Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y CH4

Only 3 previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013
Trainer Donald McCain won the race in 2012 and 2014
No winning favourites from 3 runnings
All 3 winners carried 11-1 or more in weight
Trainer Tony Carroll is just 1 from 30 with his hurdlers at the course
Trainer David Pipe is just 5 from 56 with his hurdlers at the course
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill is only 4 from 43 with his hurdlers at the course

2.35 – bet365 Oaksey Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f CH4

Just 1 previous running
Trainer Philip Hobbs’ Menorah won the race in 2014
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 2 from 21 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs is just 3 from 39 with his chasers here

3.15 – bet365 A P McCoy Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m CH4

12/12 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Aged 9 or younger
10/12 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
9/12 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – From the top three in the betting
8/12 – Ran at Sandown (fences) previously
7/12 – Officially rated 160 or higher
5/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
4/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
3/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/12 – Ridden by AP McCoy
Sire De Grugy has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 4/1

3.50 – bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y CH4

12/12 – Ran  in the last 56 days
9/12 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
9/12 – Won over 3m or further previously
8/12  – Priced 14/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Aged 9 or younger
8/12 – Placed 4th or worse in their last race
7/12 – Officially rated 140 or higher
7/12 – From the top 7 in the betting market
7/12 – Ran in the last 25 days
2/12 – Trained by Ferdy Murphy
2/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/12 – Raced in the Aintree Grand National that season
2/12 – Raced in the Scottish Grand National that season
2/12 – Won their last race
0/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 12 renewals is 13/1
The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000

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4.25 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f C4

10/10 – Aged 5 or older
10/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
8/10 – Favourites palced in the top 4
8/10 – Won between 0-3 times before
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/10 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
6/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/10 – Had raced at the track before
5/10 – Had won over at least this trip before
4/10 – French bred
4/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by David Pipe
2/10 – Ridden by AP McCoy
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

5.35 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f

11/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/11 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
8/11 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/11 – Unplaced in their last race
5/11 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/11 – French bred
5/11 – Won over 2m4f (or further) previously
4/11 – Raced at Sandown previously
3/11 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/11 – Favourites (1 co)
1/11 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 11/1

HAYDOCK (C4/RUK


2.20 – 888sport Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

Just one previous running
Trainer Karl Burke’s Yourartisonfire won the race in 2014
Trainer Richard Hannon has a 29% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 20% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 20% record with his older horses at the track

RIPON (C4/ATR)

1.45 – At The Races Sky 415 Handicap Cl2 2m CH4

10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Won over at least 1m4f previously
8/11 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
7/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
7/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Won at least 3 times previously (flat)
6/11 – Placed in their last race
6/11 – Won over 2m (flat) previously
6/11 – Ran at Ripon previously (3 won)
5/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Raced at Kempton last time out
4/11 – Aged 4 years-old
3/11 – Won their last race
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1

 

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