Double Dutch, 25th April 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 25th April 2015

Wins for Waady and Flugzeug made for a pleasant Friday afternoon as they combined to form a useful near-8/1 double and with Thahab also making the frame in Race 1, it was an enjoyable afternoon in the sun.

Friday’s results were as follows:

Waady: WON at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Thahab: 3rd at 3/1 (adv 11/4)
Flugzeug: WON at 7/4 (adv 7/4)
Little Roxy: fell at 9/2 (adv 10/3)

Results to date:
556 winning selections from 1941 = 28.65%
174 winning bets in 503 days = 34.59%

Stakes: 1005.50pts
Returns: 1108.51pts

P/L : +103.01pts (+10.24% ROI)

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As we now hover precariously above the 100pts & 10% ROI markers, we could do with some winners from these on Friday….

4.00 Ripon:

I don’t think there’s a great deal between Pinzolo (5/2 BOG) and Clever Cookie (4/1 BOG) here today on ability and the beauty of the Double Dutch is that we can back both!

Pinzolo has some good performances/results behind him from last season in Listed company on quick ground and was an easy winner on his seasonal reappearance at Lingfield over this trip in March. He was eased down once victory was assured and still won by three lengths. That was a drop back to today’s Class 2 level, at which he is now 2 from 2. Going conditions and trip hold no fears for Pinzolo and his yard remain in form and he’s their only runner at Ripon today and someone has to pay for the horsebox!

Clever Cookie is probably (marginally) my reserve pick. There’s no doubting his ability, versatility and stamina, he has won races from 1m 2.5f to 1m6f, he has won bumpers at 2m and 2m1f and has won over hurdles at 2m to 2m 2f, including a Grade 2 win last year.

He was excellent last year winning 6 of 10 races, but the doubts I have over him are that he might need the run after a 225 day break and that he’s probably better at further than 1m 4f. That said, there’s a side of me saying that this drop in trip might just be perfect as a pipe opener.


4.20 Limerick:

A decent Listed contest here and the two main protagonists would probably have been shorter in the market, had they not both been making their seasonal debuts. That said, none of their five rivals have been particularly impressive this season themselves and there’s a school of thought that the cream will always rise to the top!

Answered heads the weights and the market, which some might find strange as he’s never run beyond 1m 2f, but his reported targets for this year are a longer distances, so you can expect him to handle this step up in trip. Just the four starts to date, he beat Onenightidreamed on debut in March 2014 and the latter went on to win this year’s Irish Lincoln.

Answered then was beaten by five lengths but not disgraced in two Grade 3 events before winning a Listed event at Leopardstown next/last time out. That win came off a break of 167 days, so maybe he’ll be fine today after being rested for 182 days. He can currently be backed at 5/2 BOG, but…

…I think I prefer Roheryn at 7/2 BOG here. he’s proven at the trip, having competed at this distance twice last summer at Leopardstown, initially winning a Listed race before going down by just half a length in a Grade 3 contest. Since then she was beaten by less than five lengths in a Group 2 contest and she seemed to handle the Good to Firm ground well enough, she just wasn’t quite good enough for the class she raced in.

The drop back in class is sure to help and it’s worth pointing out that the two horses ahead of her last time out were Group 1 performers anyway. Roheryn looks to have the makings of a decent Group standard filly and she would be my pick here today, despite not having raced for over seven months.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Pinzolo / Answered @ 11.25/1 (5/2 & 5/2 : SkyBet)
Pinzolo / Roheryn @ 14.75/1 (5/2 & 7/2 : SkyBet)
Clever Cookie / Answered @ 16.50/1 (4/1 & 5/2 : Betfred & Totesport)
Clever Cookie / Roheryn @ 21.50/1 (4/1 & 7/2 : Betfred & Totesport)

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