Sat TV Trends: 2nd May 2015

We’ve the 2,000 Guineas at Newmarket this Saturday, plus three other LIVE C4 races, while the cameras also head to Goodwood for two more LIVE contests – We’ve got all the races covered from a trends angle here…….

Newmarket (C4/RUK)

2.00 – Makfi Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4¬

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
10/10 – Won at least twice previously
10/10 – Won over at least a mile previously
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
8/10 – Priced between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
8/10 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
7/10 – Rated between 90 and 95
7/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Aged 4 years-old
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Having their first run of the season
4/10 – Won their last race
3/10 – Came from stall 9
1/10 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 9/1

2.30 – Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f CH4

11/12 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/12 – Had won over 5f before¬¬
11/12 – Won 3 or more times before
10/12 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/12 – Rated between 108 and 114
9/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Raced at Newmarket previously
8/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
5/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/12 – Aged 5 years-old
Sole Power has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 8/1

3.05 – Dunaden At Overbury Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f CH4

12/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Won between 3-5 times before
10/12 – Won over 1m4f previously
10/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
8/12 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Officially Rated 112 or higher
7/12 – Favourites
6/12 – Won a Group race previously
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
5/12 – Having first run of the season
4/12 – Priced 7/4 in the betting
4/12 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Won by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Trained by Andre Fabre
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 10/3

3.45 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m CH4

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13/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
11/13 – Won a Group race previously
11/13 – Won between 2-5 times previously
11/13 – Won over at least 7f previously
10/13 – Won their last race
10/13 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
8/13 – Won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
8/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Having their first run of the season
7/13 – Won by an Irish-based yard
7/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Won over a mile previously
4/13 – Favourites
4/13 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
4/13 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
3/13 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 11/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts
– Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008 & 2012
– Kieren Fallon rode the winner in 2000, 2001, 2005, 2006 & 2014

Goodwood (C4/RUK)

2.15 – Betfred TV EBF Stallions Daisy Warwick Stakes (Fillies´ & Mares) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
3/4 – Aged 4 years-old
1/4 – Favourites
Trainer Luca Cumani has a 23% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 20% strike-rate with his older horses at the track

2.50 – Betfred “Goals Galore Extra” (Handicap) Cl2 7f

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners carried between 8-10 and 8-12 in weight
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race last year
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 24 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Sean Levey has a 23% record riding older horses at the track

 

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Trainers Quotes

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“Arsenale: Upped in trip and down in grade give her a chance of improving on her last run. Still lightly-raced and should be more to come. I expect the Southwell surface to suit and we also help her with Ali’s 5lb claim. Should go well.”
Mick Appleby

27/04/15 1st 11/4

“Marciano – Returns to the AW here after not settling at Pontefract last time out. Yet to win over this far but his run here two starts ago gives him a big chance and Jane gets on well with him. Got the in-form Al Muheer to beat but we come here with high hopes.”
Mick Appleby

27/04/15 1st 13/8

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