Stat of the Day, 1st May 2015

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 1st May 2015

Bertie Moon was a good winner for us at Sedgefield, pulling clear 2 from home to win by 4 lengths at 7/4. We’d got on earlier at 4/1 and although I had a 10% rule 4 deduction from my bet (some of you may have paid 15p, depending on your chosen bookie), my 3.6pts profit from the bet meant I’d got 205.7% of SP. Simple message : take the early price!

It all meant we ended April with over 24pts profits thanks to hitting 10 winners from 26, but they’re all history now as we kick off the new month from square one in the…

3.15 Chepstow:

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Where Richard Kingscote rides Tarooq for Tom Dascombe in this 5f Class 5 handicap at an early price of 7/2 BOG.

Since 2009, The Kingscote / Dascombe partnership on horses priced from 7/4 to 15/2 is 120 winners from 590 runners, a 20.3% strike rate producing level stakes profits of 75.8pts at an ROI of 12.8%.

The duo are particularly successful in 5f sprints, winning 58 of 302 (19.2% SR) for 112.4pts (+37.2% ROI)

Tarooq comes here in great form with finished of 1131 in his last four starts, three wins at Class 6 level and a 1.75 length defeat up at Class 2 shows he’s no mug.

He steps up in class today, but since 2010 Tom Dascombe’s flat handicappers stepping up a class priced from 6/4 to 11/2 are 13/41 (31.7% SR) for 16.5pts (+40.3% ROI) profit, with Richard Kingscote riding 12 of the 13 winners from just 28 rides (42.9% SR) for profits of 26.1pts (+93.2% ROI)

Tarooq is admittedly only 1 from 18 on turf as opposed to a record of 13 from 30 on the All-Weather, but he does now switch back to turf whilst in really good nick and on his debut for his new yard deserves another chance based on this form this year. It should also be noted that his three wins this year have been off marks of 98 and 95, yet he runs here on the A/W off just 73.

If he runs to potential (and I know it’s an if), then he’s potentially more than a stone and a half well in and that is a gamble worth taking in my book. If you agree with me, then get on Tarooq at 7/2 BOG with either of Coral or SkyBet, but do check that’s still available by…

…clicking here for the betting on the 3.15 Chepstow

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Here is today’s racecard.

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