Double Dutch, 5th May 2015
Ever get that feeling that it’s just not going your way, despite you not being a mile away from getting it right? If so, I feel/share your pain, as that’s where I’m at with DD at the moment!
As expected, Bold Lass was a winner at Windsor and she was more comfortable than the official margin of a neck would suggest, but not as convincing as was expected/hoped for. Katiba, on the other hand, was disappointing coming home last of the 5 runners, almost 8 lengths off the pace, but Bold Lass ensured we approached race 2 with all to play for…
…at Kempton, where another double hit the dust with both Duke of Navan and Bellenos underachieving back in 4th and 5th places, beaten by 9 and 12 lengths respectively having faded out of contention in the closing stages.
Monday’s results were as follows:
Bold Lass : WON at 11/8 (adv 7/4)
Khatiba : 5th at 6/1 (adv 5/1)
Duke of Navan : 4th at 7/4 (adv 15/8)
Bellenos : 5th at 7/2 (adv 7/2)
Results to date:
564 winning selections from 1972 = 28.60%
176 winning bets in 511 days = 34.44%
P/L : +93.04pts (+9.11% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
We could do with a bit of a boost, hopefully from these…
Waddington Hero comes here in good touch, having put three sold runs together so far this spring. Possibly unlucky to only finish third (1.25 lengths down) at Huntingdon eight weeks ago, he then won by 7 lengths quite easily at Ffos Las and may well have followed that up with another victory at Uttoxeter on Saturday had jockey Gerard Tumelty set him for home a little sooner, eventually finishing as runners-up beaten by less than three lengths. The duo is given another chance racing off the same mark here and looks the likely winner at 6/4 BOG.
Alright Benny has a win and two second places from four previous runs over course and distance so cannot be disregarded lightly and has been dropped 2lb for finishing a nine-length second at Newton Abbot last time out. The drop in weight and the booking of Paddy Brennan to replace a 7lb claimer are positives for a horse that always seems to be involved in the mix, if he completes the course.
He has been pulled up twice in his last 9 starts, no disgrace there, but the other seven runs have produced 3 wins and 4 runner-up finishes. He likes Fakenham, goes best at this trip and class and prefers smaller fields, so if the favourite isn’t quite up to it, Alright Benny could be the one to capitalise at 100/30 BOG
Shady Lane hasn’t quite hit the heights of her hurdling form in four starts over fences, but a switch to Team Skelton seems to have her back in good nick under a hood/tongue tie combination for her two starts for her new yard where she has finished third and first over hurdles. Her 0/4 record over fences means she’s leniently treated today and I’d be surprised if she couldn’t land such a weak-looking race at 15/8 BOG.
Our Boy Ben is also unexposed as a chaser, but has shown promise (if not stamina!) in his three efforts todate. All three runs have been at 20/21 furlongs on gorund worse than good and although he has run creditably, he has weakened in the closing stages each time and should, therefore, be seen in a better light dropping down in trip and on better ground and would be my backup here at 11/4 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Waddington Hero / Shady Lane @ 6.19/1 (6/4 & 15/8 : Betfair Sportsbook)
Waddington Hero / Our Boy Ben @ 8.38/1 (6/4 & 11/4 : Bet365)
Alright Benny / Shady Lane @ 11.46/1 (10/3 & 15/8 : SkyBet & Stan James)
Alright Benny / Our Boy Ben @ 15.25/1 (10/3 & 11/4 : SkyBet & Stan James)