Double Dutch, 6th May 2015
Tuesday was almost perfection as far as a Double Dutch day goes. Both of the longer-priced selections were winners, after one had drifted significantly to boost our returns, we had one runner-up providing a nice forecast and our fourth runner finished a well-beaten third to deny us a full house.
We opened with a 1-2 finish at Fakenham, where Alright Benny drifted out from 100/30 to 5/1 before beating the 5/4 (in from 6/4) favourite Waddington Hero by all of 11 lengths to not only give us a good stake for race 2, but also landed a 10.54/1 forecast for those doing them.
Race 2 was at Sedgefield where the Jefferson/Hughes combo prevailed over Team Skelton as Our Boy Ben got home by a neck with Shady Lane a good 24 lengths adrift back in third place. There was, unfortunately a 20p Rule 4 deduction here, after a non-runner, but the drift in race 1 more than compensated for that, leaving us with a double at 18.20/1 on a much happier day for us all!
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Alright Benny : WON at 5/1 (adv 100/30)
Waddington Hero: 2nd at 5/4 (adv 6/4)
A £1 forecast paid £11.54 here.
Our Boy Ben : WON at 6/4 (adv 11/5 after 20p R4)
Shady Lane : 3rd at 6/4 (adv 6/4 after 20p R4)
Results to date:
566 winning selections from 1976 = 28.64%
177 winning bets in 512 days = 34.57%
P/L : +100.64pts (+9.83% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
I’m looking for a double double now with the following…
What I see as the best two horses in the race have been drawn in the plum stalls 1 & 2 and therefore I’d expect Silver Wings and Rah Rah to fill the first two places here.
If pushed to pick a winner, I’d probably go with Silver Wings at 11/4 BOG after he way he got out sharply and made all to win at Windsor by more than two lengths nine days ago. The way he burst out from the stalls allied to getting box number 1 here suugests he’ll be out sharply again and we all know how tough it is to rein the low draw runners in at Chester over these shorter trips.
Rah Rah will be “next door” in number 2 representing last year’s winning trainer Mark Johnston and she too, was an impressive winner on debut, scoring by almost 4 lengths at Kempton almost six weeks ago. The form of that race hasn’t quite worked out yet, but she could only beat what was in front of her on the day which she did with ease. She receives weight from the other major players here and is ure to be in the shake-up at 11/4 BOG.
Whitecrest has a reasonable record here over course and distance with one win and six placed finishes from 11 attmepts and comes here looking like she’s on the way back to some form, as her handicap mark drops. She was a good third here over track and trip and beaten by less than a length 8 days ago and running off the same mark today, has to be considered at 9/4 BOG.
She’s effectively 3lbs lighter than last week with her jockey’s claim taken into consideration and 12lbs lower than when winning here in the past. She was staying on well here last week, despite it being her first run for six months and if she comes on for that run, Whitecrest will be the one to beat.
Her main rival here is expected to be Perfect Pastime at 7/2 BOG. He goes well here at Brighton, having won over both 6f and 7f and if the forecasted rains arrive, he’ll not be too inconvenienced by some cut in the ground, as he has already won on soft (and worse!) ground and was a close second (beaten by a neck) here over course and distance on heavy gorund last winter.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Silver Wings / Whitecrest @ 11.19/1 (11/4 & 9/4 : Bet365)
Silver Wings / Perfect Pastime @ 14.75/1 (5/2 & 7/2 : Betfair SB & Paddy)
Rah Rah / Whitecrest @ 11.19/1 (11/4 & 9/4 : Bet365)
Rah Rah / Perfect Pastime @ 15.88/1 (11/4 & 7/2 : Betfair SB & Paddy)