Double Dutch, 7th May 2015
Brighton was abandoned on Wednesday afternoon after the second race on the card, meaning that our 4 x 0.5pt doubles were settled as 2 x 1pt singles on a pairt of 11/4 BOG runners at Chester.
Fortunately we had the first two home, as Rah Rah rallied to get up to beat Silver Wings, with their nearest challenger a good five lengths adrift.
It meant a modest 1.75pts profit on the day, but profit nonthe less and those playing the exotics picked yet another forecast/exacta to boot.
Wednesday’s results were as follows:
Rah Rah : WON at 2/1 (adv 11/4)
Silver Wings : 2nd at 9/4 (adv 11/4)
A £1 exacta paid £8.60 here.
Whitecrest : ABD at 6/4 (adv 9/4)
Perfect Pastime : ABD at 6/4 (adv 7/2)
Results to date:
567 winning selections from 1978 = 28.67%
178 winning bets in 513 days = 34.70%
P/L : +102.39pts (+9.98% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
I’ll be hoping to keep the run going here…
Collaboration comes here in impressive form and surely has to be the one to beat despite going up another 10lbs for his latest win, when finishing 4.5 lengths clear of the pack in a decent standard of race at Epsom a fortnight ago. This will obviously be tougher with the extra weight, but I’m not convinced he’s finished improving and with with trainer Andrew Balding having a good record here at Chester, I’d take Collaboration to win this at 9/4 BOG, ahead of…
…Tres Coronas, a five times winner at 10/10.5 furlongs and who really gets the often difficult to handle Chester course. He’s 211 in threee runs at this May meeting, all over today’s trip, including this very race last year. The recent rain will have worked in his favour as he’s 3/8 on good to soft and has also won three times on soft ground. At 9/2 BOG, he’s excellently priced as a backup.
A bit like today’s election, this looks like a dour contest between four poor opponents and none have any real discernible winning form (1 win from 32 between them!), but two look more likely than the other two and that’s all we need here.
Billy My Boy had shown very little in his first year of racing with average runs in 2 bumpers and four hurdles contests from April 2013 to March 2014. He then took a year off the track and in three races since his return this spring, he has finished 223 and looks a different animal.
The two runner-up finishes were sold efforts over 16.5 / 17 furlongs, but he did struggle to see 2m3f out last time and it’s expected the drop back in trip would be enough for him to get off the mark at 13/8 BOG with similar performance levels, based on the lack of quality in oppostion here.
Next best / least worst should be Kahdian who has run creditably in a couple of big field handicaps of late since coming over from Ireland, but has also been unable to see out the 2m3f trip. He drops back in trip here today and also drops down in class, both of which could be key factors in his bid for a debut win at 15/8 BOG. It’s hardly inspiring stuff, but if we get through the Chester leg, we should get home here!
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Collaboration / Billy My Boy @ 7.53/1 (9/4 & 13/8 : SkyBet)
Collaboration / Kahdian @ 9.06/1 (5/2 & 15/8 : Hills)
Tres Coronas / Billy My Boy @ 14.44/1 (11/2 & 11/8 : Hills)
Tres Coronas / Kahdian @ 17.69/1 (11/2 & 15/8 : Hills)