Double Dutch, 13th May 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 13th May 2015

I got a touch of déjà vu on Tuesday, as once again we’d a winner and a narrowly beaten runner-up. We had the second and third home at Wincanton, albeit some 55 lengths apart and our runner-up had every chance on the run-in but just couldn’t quite get his nose in front.

This meant the race at Limerick was a pride salvaging mission at best and we saw Pyromaniac backed as if defeat was unthinkable and was sent off at 6/4 in from our advised 3/1. And win he did, as his past history suggested he might, but he only beat our other runner by half a length to at least gives us the satisfaction of a small consolatory forecast/exacta.

Tuesday’s results were as follows:

I’m In Charge : 2nd at 7/2 (adv 5/2)
Days Ahead : 3rd at 5/1 (adv 4/1)
—————————————————-
Pyromaniac : WON at 6/4 (adv 3/1)
Totally Dominant : 2nd at 9/4 (adv 11/4)
The exacta paid out at £6.60 to a £1 stake here.

Results to date:
572 winning selections from 1998 = 28.63%
179 winning bets in 518 days = 34.56%

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Stakes: 1035.50pts
Returns: 1132.16pts

P/L : +96.66pts (+9.33% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

Wednesday’s quartet will include the 2000th runner for Double Dutch…

4.25 Newcastle:

Remember Rocky is one of those consistent types who always seems to give it his best shot and only failed to make the frame once from eight starts in the last 12 months (4 wins and 3 places). He acts on all ground conditions, although the good to firm was possibly a little quick for him on his seasonal reappearance last time out.

Nevertheless, he was still staying on and finished third, beaten by just a neck and three quarters of a length into third place at Ayr 16 days ago, despite coming off a break of 218 days. He’s sure to come on for having had the run and with the winner of that race having already run and won again since, the form suggests Remember Rocky has a real chance here at 5/2 BOG.

You can make claims for and against a few of his rivals, but the one I’m going to side with is fellow 5/2 BOG chance Light of Asia, despite not running as expected at Windsor 16 days ago in finishing 4th, almost 6 lengths of the pace. There were some mitigating factors, though, as he was slow away and his jockey lost his irons for a while mid-race, so it maybe wasn’t as bad as it looked on paper.

The Swinbank yard is in decent nick and has only had this horse for two runs to date, so there’s every chance they’ll get some more from him today and he does seem to like some cut in the ground. He has run well in better company than this in the past and although possibly better over a longer trip, if he gets away a little better, Light of Asia shouldn’t be ruled out.

*

7.05 Naas:

This race is invariably won by either Jim Bolger or Dermot Weld and wit their respective runners holding the best form going into the race, I see little reason for that to change here today. Both Pleascach (Bolger) and Zannda (Weld) come here off the back of runner-up efforts in Listed contests and look in good form.

Pleascach was beaten by a length and a half at Navan 25 days ago on her first run for 9 months, but was half a length ahead of Diamondsandrubies who landed a Listed event (Cheshire Oaks) by 6 lengths at Chester last week, which puts Pleascach‘s reappearance in a favourable light if she can kick on from that effort. The bookies think she will and as a result have her down at a best price of 15/8 BOG with Skybet.

Zannda isn’t much longer in the market either, at 2/1 BOG, and she was beaten by a similar 1.5 length margin in the Listed Pretty Polly stakes at Newmarket 10 days ago. She was outpaced late on that day, having led with a furlong to run and it’s highly likely that the good to firm track was just too quick for her. Her two previous runs (a 2nd and a win) have both been on ground with the word soft in the description, suggesting that this progressive filly will be more at home here today.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Remember Rocky / Pleascach @ 9.06/1 (5/2 & 15/8 : SkyBet)
Remember Rocky / Zannda @ 9.50/1 (5/2 & 2/1 : Bet365, SkyBet, Coral, Hills)
Light of Asia / Pleascach @ 9.06/1 (5/2 & 15/8 : SkyBet)
Light of Asia / Zannda @ 9.50/1 (5/2 & 2/1 : Bet365)

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