Double Dutch, 14th May 2015
After several days of knocking on the door, it finally eased open a little on Wednesday evening, allowing us to sneak in and grab some much needed/deserved profit and had it not been for Gala Casino Star sticking his 10 yr old nose into the mix at Newcastle, it would have been a perfect DD day.
At Naas Pleascach led Zannda and the rest of the field home as she absolutely spreadeagled the pack. We had the first two home for a small exacta, but they were fully 8.5 lengths apart and with the third horse a further five lengths back, it was true demolition job by the winner, as the 4th horse home was almost 20 lengths behind the winner!
This completed a very welcome 9.06/1 double , as up at Newcastle, Light of Asia has already got home as a winner with our other runner Remember Rocky 3 lengths back. Unfortunately we were denied a forecast and subsequent forecast double by the aforte mentioned Gala Casino Star who managed to just hang on to second place to deny us a clean sweep.
Nontheless, it was good to be back amongst the winners on the day of our 2000th runner. Here’s to the next thousand!
Wednesday’s results were as follows:
Light Of Asia : WON at 2/1 (adv 5/2)
Remember Rocky : 3rd at 9/2 (adv 5/2)
Pleascach : WON at 10/11 (adv 15/8)
Zannda : 2nd at 11/4 (adv 2/1)
The exacta paid out at £4.30 to a £1 stake here.
Results to date:
574 winning selections from 2002 = 28.67%
180 winning bets in 519 days = 34.68%
P/L : +99.69pts (+9.61% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Thursday will now set us off towards the 3,000 selection milestone…
The Charlie Appleby yard is, as it always seems to be, in very good nick and constantly averages around a 25% strike rate and in Endless Time, they appear to have a nice, progressive filly. Fifth on debut at Newmarket in early August, but only beaten by just under 3 lengths over 7 furlongs and the horses around her that day have gone on to win. She ran again 18 days later and won over a mile at Kempton with the horses in 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th all making the frame next time out (2nd & 4th have both won.)
She hasn’t raced since then, but that’s not normally an issue with the super-fit Godolphin horses and I’d expect her to relish the step up to 1m2f here, as she’s by Sea The Stars, whose offspring have tended to stay so far and at 9/4 BOG, Endless Time would be my winner here today, just ahead of Justice Belle who has had the benefit of a saesonal reappearance and a handicap debut under her belt.
Justice Belle ended last season with a pair of runner-up finishes (8.5f & 1m, beaten by 2.5L & 3L at Windsor & Lingfield) before a 145 day break ahead of that handicap debut back at Windsor 24 days ago. She was sent off as ther 9/4 favourite and looked decent value for it, before failing to see out the full 1m 3.5f trip, running out of steam late on to finish second once again.
She was beaten by 2.75 lengths behind another of Charlie Appleby’s winners that day, a horse who has since won again. This drop back in trip should help Justice Belle and if you like her, she can be backed at 5/2 BOG.
Solway Dandy was a model of consistency towards the end of last season, getting closer and closer to winning in three successive runner-up finishes (beaten by 5L, 2L then 1.25L) all over today’s course and distance before taking a 30-week break over the winter/spring. He returned to action three weeks ago to win by a length and half, also over this track and trip and although he’s up 6lbs for that win, you can expect him to come on again for having had the run.
Lisa Harrison’s small string tend to go well here at Perth and Solway Dandy has already shown a liking for the place, which always helps and 9/4 BOG looks a reasonable price based on past performance. The one he’ll need to see of is likely to be Jack Albert, a winner of back to back races at this trip at Uttoxeter and Market Rasen last March, before ending his season with a fall 3 flights from when leading at Market Rasen.
He next turned out over hurdles some 372 days later at Kelso a month ago, where he ran really well to finish third, beaten by just a length and three quarter by a couple of 119 & 120 rated horses. If there are no ill effects from that run, Jack Albert could take advantage of a similar performance by winning at 9/4 BOG, but I do prefer the other runner!
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Endless Time / Solway Dandy @ 8.75/1 (2/1 & 9/4 : generally)
Endless Time / Jack Albert @ 8.75/1 (2/1 & 9/4 : generally)
Justice Belle/ Solway Dandy @ 10.38/1 (5/2 & 9/4 : Bet365, Paddy Power & BetVictor)
Justice Belle/ Jack Albert @ 10.38/1 (5/2 & 9/4 : Paddy Power & BetVictor)