Sat TV Trends: 16th May 2015

Find those TV winners!

The return of TV Trends!

Another huge weekend of LIVE C4 racing as the cameras head Newbury for their Lockinge Stakes, plus they are also at Newmarket for three races – As always Andy Newton’s got all the big race trends…..

 

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Newbury (RUK/C4)

2.00 – Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y CH4

12/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
11/12 –  From the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Won over at least 1m4f previously
9/12 – Drawn 4 or lower
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Raced at Newbury previously
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Won at Listed or Group class previously
7/12 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Won between 1-3 times previously
3/12 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
3/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/12 – Favourites
1/12 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.35 – Toronado Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y CH4

9/10 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/10 – Won over 6f previously
9/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
7/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Drawn in stall 3
3/10 – Won their last race
3/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

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3.10 – Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y CH4

12/12 – Won between 1-2 times previously
11/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Rated 90 or lower
10/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight
9/12 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
7/12 – Won their last race
7/12 – Won over 1m2f before
7/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Ran at Newbury before (2 won)
2/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/12 – Ridden by Steve Drowne
2/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

3.45 – Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4

12/12 – Won over a mile previously
11/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Won at least 4 times previously
10/12 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Won a Group One race before
9/12 – Having their first run of the season
8/12 – Aged 4 years-old
8/12 – Favourites
7/12 – Unplaced last time out
3/12 – Won by a mare
3/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/12 – Won by Richard Hannon
2/12 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute (Has won the race 7 times in all)
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/12 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
0/12 – No winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
No winner aged 7 or older since 1958

Newmarket (RUK/C4)

2.15 – Home of Racing Handicap Cl2 1m6f CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/8 – Won over at least 1m4f before
7/8 – Rated 95 or lower
7/8 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/8 – Won at least twice before
6/8 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/8 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/8 – Raced at Newmarket before
5/8 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
5/8 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/8 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
4/8 – Favourites
3/8 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/8 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9.5/1

2.50 – King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f CH4

11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Won only once before
10/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/12 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
9/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Ran at Newmarket (Rowley) before
7/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/12 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2

3.25 – Junction 17 Cars Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Won between 1-3 times previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Won over 6f before
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/12 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
8/12 – Rated between 91-96
8/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/12 – Carried 8-12 or more
7/12 – Ran at Newmarket previously
6/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Won by a mare/filly
2/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Follow Andy Newton Here – @NewtsDailyLays

Trainers Quotes

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“Bennachie: Won well last time out – escapes a penalty for that and has come out of that race very well. We actually come here a pound better off too as Alan can claim his full 7lbs here. Conditions ideal and as long as he can cope with the step up in trip and take a quick return I’d hope he can follow-up here tonight.”
Tim Vaughan 12/05/15 1st 7/4

“Avenue Des Champs: Will like the distance and being back on turf. Nice second last time out at Kempton – running on well. Undulating track a slight unknown but if handling it should go well.”
Jane Chapple-Hyam 12/05/15 1st 6/1

“Threes Grand: Just a supremely well-handicapped horse if turning up. She got her tongue over the bit when taken off the bridle last time after travelling like the winner. Has run well over CD and should be winning soon.”
Scott Dixon 12/05/15 3rd 12/1

“GUN SHY was very disappointing last time out on a freezing cold day when he last ran. Better conditions today for him and I hope he can put that poor run behind him.”
Gary Moore 11/05/15 1st 4/1

 

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