Double Dutch, 15th May 2015
After coming close to a clean sweep on Wednesday, we landed the full house on Thursday.
Two winners, two runners-up, a 9.56/1 double, two forecasts at 5.12/1 and 8.31/1 and for the very brave, a 56/1 forecast double.
We don’t officially record the forecast results, but I do know that several of you like that option.
Thursday’s results were as follows:
Endless Time : WON at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Justice Belle : 2nd at 13/8 (adv 5/2)
The forecast paid out at £6.12 to a £1 stake here.
Solway Dandy : WON at 9/4 (adv 9/4)
Jack Albert : 2nd at 3/1 (adv 9/4)
The forecast paid out at £9.31 to a £1 stake here.
Results to date:
576 winning selections from 2006 = 28.71%
181 winning bets in 520 days = 34.81%
P/L : +102.97pts (+9.91% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
England / Scotland and a six and a half hour wait separates Friday’s picks…
The progressive Flying Fantasy was a little unlucky to be beaten by just over half a length into third place on his seasonal reappearance at Chelmsford almost three weeks ago. He showed no ill effects/rustiness despite a 194-day absence from the track and results of 0733 show he’s going the right way.
The winner from Chelmsford hasn’t reappeared since, but I have been following (and backing!) the runner-up Three Gracez who was only a neck ahead of Flying Fantasy and has since won both her starts, making a 15/8 BOG bet a decent option here.
Cape Xenia is another who ran well in defeat upon a seasonal reappearance almost three weeks ago, when third at Kempton over a mile. She didn’t get a clear run that day and got boxed in at one point and bumped a couple of times, but once she got out, she managed to get within two lengths of the winner and there’s every chance she could have run with an easier route to the line.
The manner of that run tended to suggest her disappointing third and final run of last season was a blip, as she;s ran well on her other two starts, 3rd on debut at Salisbury (runner-up is 1/1 since) and then she won herself at Leicester with the afore-mentioned Three Gracez back in 6th place (7.5 lengths back) on her own debut. If Cape Xenia continues to improve, then she’s every chance at 7/2 BOG today.
It might well pay to say with the two last time out winners here in a race that doesn’t look too overloaded with form and/or quality.
Sleeping Apache probably just shades it for me, this 5 yr old doesn’t have many miles on the clock, having only made his debut 13 months ago and has won two and placed in two of his eight starts to date. He has won over both 6f and today’s 5f trip and returned from a 6 month break to win at Pontefract last month. Although he had no soft ground form, his trainer has suggested he wants cut in the ground and if that’s really the case, this could be his for the taking at 5/2 BOG.
Whereas, Ambitious Icarus does have some soft ground form, including a win over 5 furlongs at Nottingham last time out. It is true that he hasn’t really produced his best form here at Hamilton in the past, but he has tended to come off the back of an indifferent run elsewhere and has then run over 6 furlongs, a trip over which he’s 1/27! With Jason Hart back in the saddle and at his preferred 5f, 9/2 BOG might look big later this evening.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Flying Fantasy / Sleeping Apache @ 9.06/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : Coral)
Flying Fantasy / Ambitious Icarus @ 14.81/1 (15/8 & 9/2 : Bet365)
Cape Xenia / Sleeping Apache @ 14.75/1 (7/2 & 5/2 : SkyBet)
Cape Xenia / Ambitious Icarus @ 23.75/1 (7/2 & 9/2 : Bet365 & Totesport)