Double Dutch, 19th May 2015
My fancy Horsted Valley was withdrawn from our first race yesterday and this left us with just a 7/1 runner to carry our hopes and whilst Earcomesthedream went well for the most part, he didn’t really get the trip and faded from contention late on.
This obviously meant the double was gone, but the non-runner at least afforded us the possibility of a consolation single in race 2, which we managed to salvage, albeit at just 13/8.
Misu Mac led Abi Scarlet home by three quarters of a length for a DD 1-2 with the next horse a good 8 lengths back. Those doing the forecasts picked up another 5.27/1 win here.
Monday’s results were as follows:
Earcomesthedream : 4th at 6/1 (adv 7/1)
Horsted Valley : non-runner (adv 7/4)
Misu Mac : WON at 13/8 (adv 13/8)
Abi Scarlet : 2nd at 11/4 (adv 10/3)
The forecast paid £6.27 to a £1 stake.
Results to date:
579 winning selections from 2017 = 28.71%
182 winning bets in 523 days = 34.80%
P/L : +98.28pts (+9.40% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
And on to Tuesday…
The Beckett yard has been in fine form of late and with Another Boy being their only runner of the day, they’ll be looking for a return from his run here. He showed some promise when 6th on debut on ground that was too quick for him. He is reported to want this softer ground and the drop in class will also help this son of a mare who was a winner as a 2yr old herself over both 5f and 6f and if he improves as expected, Another Boy has every chance at 5/2 BOG.
Of the unraced runners, my eye is drawn to Poldark, both jockey and trainer have good records here at Chepstow and it’s pretty common knowledge that Richard Hughes is a master at getting the best out of 2yr olds. This one is by Rip van Winkle, whose offspring are winning more than their fair share of races and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Hannon team have yet another 2yr old ready to win on debut at 9/4 BOG.
One other thing about this race is that last year’s renewal was won by Be Bold, trained by Richard Hannon (trainer of Poldark) and ridden by Pat Dobbs (who rides Another Boy).
Bang On Time is bang in form (sorry!) and was unlucky to bump into a rejuvenated sort last time out whilst seeking a hat trick. He’d taken well to a drop in trip to run over today’s course and distance and looked a likely winner when clear 4 out. Unfortunately the favourite that day had other ideas and slowly reeled our runner in, catching him close to home and beating him by a neck.
Bang On Time did at least show that this shorter trip holds no fears for him and at 3/1 BOG stands every chance of resuming winning ways. He isn’t helped, however, by a 4lb rise for that run, despite not winning and this might well lead to another close defeat by a favourite and today’s rival is Sergeant Dick, who is currently available at 2/1 BOG.
Sergeant Dick might well be winless in 10, but he’s no mug over fences. He has finished in the first three home in six of those ten defeats and he has failed to finish twice, so he’s made the frame in 6 of 8 finishes since his last win. As a result of the losing streak, he now looks dangerously well weighted and comes here off the back of a runner-up finish behind an in-form rival, but he had the third placed horse ( who had won its previous race) some 28 lengths back.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Poldark / Sergeant Dick @ 8.34/1 (9/4 & 15/8 : generally)
Poldark / Bang On Time @ 12/1 (9/4 & 3/1 : BetVictor)
Another Boy / Sergeant Dick @ 9.06/1 (5/2 & 15/8 : BetVictor & Coral)
Another Boy / Bang On Time @ 13/1 (5/2 & 3/1 : BetVictor)