Sat TV Trends: 23rd May 2015

A big Saturday with the C4 cameras heading to the Curragh (Ire), Haydock & Goodwood – As always we’ve got all the TV races covered from a trends & stats angle.

Find those TV winners!

Goodwood (C4/RUK)

1.45 – 888sport Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m1f192y CH4

10/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Won at least 3 times previously
8/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Raced at Goodwood previously
7/11 – Won over at least 1m2f before
7/11 – Placed in the top two last time out
6/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
4/11 – Favourites
2/11 – Trained by Sir Henry Cecil
2/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/11– Ridden by Tom Queally
1/11 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 17/2

2.20 – 888sport Tapster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/8 – Placed 4th or better last time out
6/8 – Won a Group race previously
6/8 – Won over 1m4f previously
6/8 – Had won between 2-4 times in the past
6/8 – Yet to run at the track previously
5/8 – Favourites
5/8 – Aged 4 years-old
5/8 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
2/8 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/8 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/8 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/8 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 4/1

2.55 – 888sport Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

2 previous runnings
Andrew Balding won the race in 2013
Mick Channon won the race in 2014
Mick Channon is just 4 from 81 with his 3 year-olds here
William Haggas has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds here
Frankie Dettori has a 25% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Haydock (C4/RUK)

2.00 – Betfred Membership “Play Your Way” Handicap Cl2 2m45y CH4

Just 1 previous running
Noble Silk won the race 12 months ago
Marco Botti has a 27% record with his older horses here
Jim Goldie is just 1 from 37 with his older horses here
Brian Ellison is just 3 from 48 with his older horses here
Richard Fahey is just 4 from 111 with his older horses here

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2.35 – Betfred Mobile Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/12 – Won between 1-3 times previously
11/12 – Won over 7f or 1m previously
11/12 – Ran within the last month
11/12 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/12 – Placed in their last race
9/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/12 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
3/12 – Won their last race
3/12 – Favourites
3/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey¬¬¬¬¬
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

3.10 – Betfred TV EBF Stallion Stakes (Reg´ as The Cecil Frail Stakes) (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Won over 6f previously
10/11 – Aged 5 or younger
10/11 – Yet to at Haydock previously
9/11 – Rated between 98-105
9/11 – Drawn in stalls 2-9 (inc)
8/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
7/11 – Won 1-2 times previously
7/11 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
6/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Won at Listed (or better) class before
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
3/11 – Favourites
2/11 – Won their last race
2/11 – Trained by Ed McMahon
2/11 – Ridden by Steve Drowne
0/11 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.45 – betfred.com Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f CH4

12/13 – Trained in the UK
11/13 – Aged 5 or younger
11/13 – Won over 5f previously
9/13 – Ran within the last 2 months
9/13 – Finished third or better in their last race
8/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Won a Group race previously
7/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Favourites
3/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
5 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

Curragh (C4/ATR)

2.45 – Weatherbys Ireland Greenlands Stakes (Group 2) 6f CH4

9/11 – Aged 4, 5 or 6
9/11 – Retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won at least 5 times before
7/11 – Favourites placed in the top three
7/11 – Won by a UK-based trainer
7/11 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
7/11 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
6/11 – Had won a Group race before
6/11 – Irish bred 6/11 – Had raced at the Curragh before
4/11 – Raced at York last time out
3/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Winners from stall 2
2/11 – Favourites
0/11 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 13/2

3.20 – Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1) (3yo) 1m

13/13 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
12/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
11/13 – Won between 1-4 times previously
11/13 – Won over either 7f or 8f previously
10/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
10/13 – Favourites placed in the top two
10/13 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Raced at the Curragh previously
7/13 – Trained by a UK-based stable
7/13 – Unplaced in their last race
7/13 – Won a Group 1 race previously
6/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/13 – Favourites
4/13 – Won their last race
3/13 – Ridden by Joseph O’Brien
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 9/2

 

Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 19 TOP STABLES EACH DAY – Sent direct to your in-box!

“Shades of Silver: Steps up to 2m for the first time – If he gets the extra distance then I think he’s got a big chance.”
Michael Scudamore 19/05/15 1st 9/2

“Honour Promise: Stepping up in trip today will suit her and the softer ground should also suit her. Each way chance.”
William Muir 19/05/15 1st 20/1

“Felice: Out of the handicap – showed minor promise last time at Southwell and feel the drop of 1f should suit today.”
Scott Dixon 18/05/15 1st 25/1

“Misu Moneypenny: Has worked on course a couple of times and gone well with an older Southwell performer last time out. The two market leaders justify their price but we have a very solid chance of an upset if she performs to the same level on the track as her course and distance home work.”
Scott Dixon 18/05/15 1st 10/1 (from 20/1)

 

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