Double Dutch, 25th May 2015
Dr Red Eye bolted out of the stalls at Catterick on Saturday and in his attempt to make all, he beat the favourite and our other paick, Rousayan by 2.5 lengths at 9/2 (adv 11/2). Unfortunately for us, though, he was unable to hang on and was headed inside the final furlong by the faster finishing Breakable, who went on to win by a length and a quarter.
This, of course, meant the end for the double, but as many of you play the singles and forecasts etc, we still had one race to come and at Goodwood and where we did at least salvage some pride with a 1-2 finish.
Black Cherry was well supported and beat Privileged by just over three lengths. The jockey on board Privileged lost his whip in the final furlong and whilst this didn’t alter the placings, it will have affected the margin of defeat.
He still managed to keep his horse over a length clear of the pack to secure us the consolation prize of an Exacta at 6.7/1.
Friday’s results were as follows:
Dr Red Eye : 2nd at 9/2 (adv 11/2)
Rousayan : 3rd at 7/4 (adv 15/8)
Black Cherry : WON at 6/4 (adv 15/8)
Privileged : 2nd at 7/2 (adv 2/1)
The exacta paid £7.70 to a £1 stake
Results to date:
583 winning selections from 2032 = 28.69%
183 winning bets in 526 days = 34.79%
P/L : +109.83pts (+10.43% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
We kick off the final week of the month with therse for Bank Holiday Monday…
In what looks a fairly poor standeard of contest for a Class 4 race, it might well pay to side with a couple who did at least win last time out.
Rembrandt Van Rijn is curently priced at 5/2 BOG and is likely to go off as favourite here. he’s reportedly not the easiest horse to deal with, but finished 2nd three times in four starts, before finally winning at Wolverhampton last time out. He’s easily the least exposed in the field after just six starts, but despite his apparent temperament issude, results suggest there’s some ability there.
He hasn’t raced on turf since his debut at Newbury this time last year, where the bare result of finishing 8th of 16 at this Class 4 level might not paint him in a true light. It was, of course, his first time on a track and despite losing by the best part of 5.5 lengths, that race has produced plenty of winners since. 13 of his 15 rivals that day have run again since and 11 of those have been winners.
The main threat is likely to come from 7/2 BOG chance Solo Hunter, who made all to win at Leicester last time out and if allowed to employ similar tactics today, would be hard to catch. He’s sure to stay the extra asked of him here, as he ran over hurdles two starts ago and has looked a different horse since a switch to Martyn Meade, showing improvement in each of his three runs. More is, of course, needed here today, but I’m sure he’ll be in the mix at the business end of affairs.
Kinglami loves it here finishing 1212 in four efforts over course and distance and was unlucky to go down by a neck here last time out three weeks ago. He ran into the well-handicapped Bushcraft that day and despite going into that race after a break of 203 days, he was only headed very late into the final furlong and now having had the benefit of the run can extend his tally with another C&D win at 7/2 BOG, providing he can see off…
…Equity Risk who is the representative of a jockey/trainer partnership that does well here at Windsor. This horse started like a house on fire, winning three times and losing by half a length in his first four runs, but then went off the boil somewhat, labouring under a handicap mark in the high 80’s/low 90’s. He hasn’t won any of his nine races since those first four runs, but signed off his time with Kevin Ryan with a promising 3rd place at Ascot in October.
He now makes his yard debut for Roger Charlton and provided he’s ready to go after a 234 day absence, a handicap mark of 78 (6lbs lower than his last win) could well prove to be quite lenient making Equity Risk of obvious interest, also at 7/2 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Rembrandt Van Rijn / Equity Risk @ 14.75/1 (5/2 & 7/2 : Boylesports)
Rembrandt Van Rijn / Kinglami @ 14.75/1 (5/2 & 7/2 : Boylesports)
Solo Hunter / Equity Risk @ 19/1 (4/1 & 3/1 : Coral)
Solo Hunter / Kinglami @ 21.50/1 (4/1 & 7/2 : Coral)