Double Dutch, 1st June 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 1st June 2015

The last day of the the week/month was another poor one, I’m afraid.

The classy Music Master flopped and was last home of home of eight in a race where supposed second pick Out Do out did him and was indeed second best on the day, beaten by a length and quarter behind 11/1 shot and course and distance specialist Kingsgate Native for whom the experts had told us the ground was too soft.

And if that was bad, race 2 was worse, where Strategic Force’s 3rd of 7 runners after a drift from 10/3 to 6/1 was the best I could give you with pre-race favourite Vincentti going off at the advised 11/4 odds before only beating two rivals home.

It was a disappointing last few days of the month, but a month in which we made almost 8pts profit at an ROI of almost 16.8%, even if it did feel like swimming in treacle at times.

Saturday’s results were as follows:

Out Do : 2nd at 3/1 (adv 4/1)
Music Master : u/p at 2/1 (adv 5/2)
Strategic Force : u/p at 6/1 (adv 10/3)
Vincentti : u/p at 11/4 (adv 11/4)

Results to date:
587 winning selections from 2055 = 28.56%
185 winning bets in 532 days = 34.77%

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Stakes: 1063.50pts
Returns: 1170.50pts

P/L : +107.00pts (+10.06% ROI)


We’ll kick June off with these…

3.35 Lingfield:

A 5f, Class 5 maiden where I’ll take one with racing experience and one newcomer to try to cover the bases.

Stocking sets the standard on form and with both trainer and jockey having good records at this track, this filly can hopefully pick up where left off at the end of last season, when producing her best run to date. She finished second in a 6f handicap that day, having tired late on, and that was hie first run on an all-weather track.

She returned from a 175-day absence to run at Windsor four weeks ago in a 5f handicap and probably needed the run, but denied a clear run after an awkward start, was beaten into fourth place. She should come on for having had the outing and the drop back ino a maiden could be the key for Stocking to get off the mark here at 7/4 BOG.

Lajjah is the interesting debutant for me, an expensive (320,000 Euro) half-sister of Calming Influence and Steel Light, she’s certainly got some pedigree in her breeding to suggest she’ll be useful at the shorter distances. The Hannon yard is flying at the moment and in a race that shouldn’t take too much winning, this loks to be a well chosen race to kick off her career at 2/1 BOG.


4.30 Listowel:

Horendous Hulabaloo was fairly useful over hurdles and although he only turned 1 of his 7 placed positions (from 15 runs) in to a win, he always tended to be there or thereabouts. It was suggested that he’d make a better chaser, as is often the case and so it proved when he won on his first attempt over fences at Tipperary 18 days ago.

He had control of the race from 2 out and although he’s likely to want further in the future, much of his past runniong has been around this trip. He won on soft ground last time out and his hurdles success was on heavy, so the going should hold no fears for Horendous Hulabaloo who is a 2/1 BOG shot with Bet365.

De Benno is the consistent one over fences, despite being winless aftert 8 attempts. He did win oiver today’s trip over hurdles and has made the frame in four of his eight chase contests. This likeable 10 yr old has been knocking on the door of late, getting closer and closer to winning and was only denied late on last time out.

That was at Roscommon a fortnight ago, where he had attempted to make all over 2m 5f and was only caught and passed by two pursuers on the run-in, eventually finishing third, 1.25 lengths off the winner. In an open looking contest, similar tactics could well pay off and with this race being a furlong shorter, there’s every possibility that De Benno could hold on this time for a win at 11/2 BOG.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Stocking / Horendous Hulabaloo @ 7.94/1 (7/4 & 9/4 : SkyBet & Hills)
Stocking / De Benno @ 16.88/1 (7/4 & 11/2 : Betfair SB)
Lajjah / Horendous Hulabaloo @ 8/1 (2/1 & 2/1 : Bet365)
Lajjah / De Benno @ 17/1 (2/1 & 5/1 : Bet365)

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