Stat of the Day, 6th June 2015
Landing Night was excellent at Catterick on Friday, enabling us to land a hat-trick of wins this week for SotD.
He was in no rush to show his hand and spent the first half of the race at the back of the field, but looked effortless as he made his way to the head of affairs with around a furlong to run.
He was then asked to go and win and he’d fairly quickly got the race wrapped up, easing slightly once the job was done, winning even more comfortably than the bare result suggested.
The icing on the came when we absolutely battered the SP again, even a 10p Rule 4 deduction couldn’t hide the fact we’d got a great price. Getting paid out at 2.7/1 after the deduction meant that we received 325% of the final 5/6 SP.
It has been a really good week so far and I’ve love to round it off with a 4-timer via Saturday’s…
A Class 3 contest over 10.5f on good to firm ground where Charlie Appleby’s Subcontinent seeks a fourth win in 5 starts at 100/30 BOG.
Charlie hasn’t actually sent that many runners to Town Moor, but those that have come here in the past and been priced at 8/1 or shorter have won 8 of 38 (21.1% SR) for 9.3pts (+24.5% ROI) profit and he’s 2/7 for 7.2pts here this year alone.
Subcontinent is by Dubawi, one of the sires I follow and since 2010 the Dubawi progeny are 127/638 (19.9% SR) for 104.7pts (+16.4% ROI) profit when priced at odds of 2/1 to 8/1 over trips of 7f to 2m.
More recently and more relevant to today’s contest, those offspring are 48/236 (20.3% SR) for 55.8pts (+23.6% ROI) over trips of 1m to 1m5f at odds of 5/2 to 15/2 since the start of the 2012 campaign.
Subcontinent was a reasonable 4th on debut less than 9 months ago and then made the frame in three consecutive defeats.
After those three placed efforts he landed a hat-trick of wins, before struggling last time out. In his defence, he really didn’t handle the good to soft ground at Haydock a fortnight ago, but race conditions look to be in his favour today, because…
…he’s 1 from 1 at Doncaster, which was a course and distance success on good to firm ground three starts ago. He’s 2 from 3 on good to firm ground and 2 from 2 at 10/10.5 furlongs. He’s 1 from 1 under James Doyle (that prior C&D win) and has won three of his four starts in fields of 6 or fewer runners : the losing run being his debut.
I’m happy to look beyond that last outing and with conditions in his favour here today, Subcontinent could easily get back to winning ways and if he does, then I’ll be heading straight back to Hills to cash in my my 100/30 BOG ticket. Get on that, if you can, otherwise 3/1 BOG is the generally available offering, as you’ll see by…
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