Double Dutch, 6th June 2015
Friday started really well for us and almost perfect for me personally. I’d advised Shear Rock as a winner at 11/4 elsewhere and I’d backed Bowie at 13/2 E/W as a saver, expecting a big run from him and with the former beating the latter by just a neck with the nearest challenger a further 6 lengths back, it was the dream start.
Exotic backers were rewarded with a forecast that paid just over 13/2 and for the double, we were able to carry a 5/2 win into leg 2, which is where things went unfortunately awry.
Escrick didn’t come on for an earlier run and was well beaten by about 8 lengths, ahead of just one other runner. My Call, on the other hand, gave it a decent shot and ran her own race. She didn’t have the final burst needed and could only finish secoind to a resurgent Links Drive Lady, who will have surprised many by winning at 25/1!
Friday’s results were as follows:
Shear Rock : WON at 11/10 (adv 5/2)
Bowie : 2nd at 5/1 (adv 13/2)
A £1 forecast paid £7.58 here…
My Call : 2nd at 6/4 (adv 7/4)
Escrick : u/p at 4/1 (adv 9/2)
Results to date:
592 winning selections from 2074 = 28.55%
187 winning bets in 537 days = 34.89%
P/L : +103.42pts (+9.63% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Last shot of the week now and Saturdays are notoriously tough…
Roger Varian has a good record here at Doncaster and will look to Igider to return to winning ways here at 15/8 BOG today. He was a winner on his final run of last season and looked like a horse destined for better things. He reappeared at Hamilton three weeks ago and was pretty soundly beaten. We were advised by Mr Varian that the horse doesn’t go well fresh, so we’ll expect more today.
It should also be noted that the run at Hamilton was his first after 333 days, his first at today’s 1m4f trip and he was up two grades. A drop back in class and the benefit of that outing three weeks ago should help matters today, where Igider will need to be on his game to see off I’m Harry, who in complete contrast returned to action 17 days ago for the first time in over 10 months and won over 1m3.5f by 8 lengths at Lingfield on Good ground (not A/W!).
It was an effortless run that day, no whip required and the margin of victory could have been huge had he been driven/ridden to a finish. He has now finished 111221 in his last six starts and despite a 9lb rise for that hands and heels win, it wouldn’t be too much of a surprise to see I’m Harry win again at 11/4 BOG.
Sometimes you spot something that looks a bit unusual on the racecards, and today I’ve spotted a Sir Michael Stoute runner at Musselburgh in the form of the 7/2 BOG Indelible Ink and with such beasts being as common as an honest FIFA delegate, I had to look closer!
It turns out that despite having had almost 5,500 runners in an illustrious and long career, just five have come to Musselburgh! Altaayil was a runner-up here last October and prior to that, the previous Stoute runner here ran at this very meeting in 2009! That said, he has two winners and two placers from the five, so it’s not form keeping him away.
His runners are in good nick (9/25 in the last two weeks) and Indelible Ink was knocking on the door, finishing as runner-up in each of his last two of three runs last season. He looked like he needed the run and a longer trip when reappearing at Sandown 16 days ago after an eight month break and Indelible Ink gets both requests fulfilled here.
The more likely winner for me, though, is Yorkidding at 11/4 BOG. This likeable 3 yr old filly has really come on this season since stepping up in trip and being partnered with Silvestre de Sousa, finishing 211 so far in three runs. Their only defeat was a staying-on 0.75L loss after a 158-day absence, but sahe has stepped up to win at 1m4f and 1m6f since.
She’s up 4lbs for that last win, but does drop back 600yds in trip to 1m4f where she won two starts ago. She’s 2/3 on good to firm ground and 2/2 going right handed and with conditions set to suit, Yorkidding would be my pick here.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Igider / Yorkidding @ 9.31/1 (7/4 & 11/4 : Paddy Power & BetVictor)
Igider / Indelible Ink @ 11.38/1 (7/4 & 7/2 : generally)
I’m Harry / Yorkidding @ 13.06/1 (11/4 & 11/4 : Hills)
I’m Harry / Indelible Ink @ 16.33/1 (3/1 & 10/3 : Coral)