Stat of the Day, 10th June 2015

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 10th June 2015

Tuesday was one of those nearly days for myself and Messrs Charlton & Baker. Jockey George had two rides for Roger at Salisbury, I backed them both, I beat SP both times, they both ran well and both finished second!

Chauvelin was beaten by three parts of a length an hour after SotD pick Star Fire had just failed by a neck at 3/1 after we’d taken a juicy 9/2 BOG. However you get nothing for coming second with straight win bets, so it’s a point conceded to the bookies, but I’ll be trying to win it back in the…

8.40 Kempton:

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A Class 4 A/W handicap over 7f, where I’ve just taken 7/2 BOG about Ian’s Memory, who Richard Hughes will ride for Jeremy Noseda.

Jeremy’s record with horses priced at 6/1 or shorter in A/W handicaps since the start of 2010 is 45/146 (30.8% SR) for 13.9pts profit at an ROI of 9.5%, but since the start of 2014, the figures are much more impressive at 14/36 (38.9% SR) for 13.23pts (+36.6% ROI).

Of those 36 runners, the record here at Kempton is 7/14 (50% SR) for 7.6pts (+54.3% ROI).

Also, since 2009, jockey Richard Hughes’ record in Class 4/5 handicaps here at Kempton on horses in the 2/1 to 11/1 price range is 41/203 (20.2% SR) for 55.1pts (+27.2% ROI), of which he’s 36/153 (23.5% SR) for 83.4pts (+54.5% ROI) over trips of 5f to 1m2f and at those trips, he’s 4/16 (25% SR) for 11pts (+68.6% ROI) since the start of 2014.

Richard Hughes doesn’t ride too often for Jeremy Noseda, but since the start of 2010 in handicaps on horses priced at 4/1 or shorter, they are 7/12 (58.3% SR) for 16.8pts (+139.8% ROI) together.

Some trainers do better than others with their handicappers that haven’t over-raced their horses and get better results with horses that are fresh. Jeremy Noseda has a good record with horses that have only raced once in the previous 90 days and with Ian’s Memory having last raced 10 weeks ago after a 9-week break, he fulfils the criteria of Noseda handicappers with just one run in the last 90 days.

Since 2009, such runners are 32/111 (28.8% SR) for 25.6pts profit at an ROI of 23.1%. On the A/W, the figures are 16/42 (38.1% SR) for 25.2pts (+59.9% ROI) with those priced at 6/1 or shorter winning 15 of 29 (51.7% SR) for 22.4pts (+77.4% ROI) profit.

Coral are currently offering 7/2 BOG about Ian’s Memory, whilst there’s plenty of 3/1 BOG around as can be seen by…

…clicking here for the betting on the 8.40 Kempton

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Here is today’s racecard.

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