Double Dutch, 10th June 2015
A 1.5 length defeat as a runner-up in our second race was the “highlight” of another poor day for me, I’m afraid. Gabrial’s Wawa was sent off at the 5/4 favourite after our other runner (and preferred pick) Castorienta was withdrawn shortly after I’d gone to press!
Not that it mattered, as race 1 wasn’t good for us at all. The 13 yr old top weight Herecomesthetruth finished 4th at 12/1, but he wasn’t even close to landing me an E/W payout in truth, beaten by 20 lengths, whilst La Madonnina drifted from 3/1 to 11/2 and the layers were right, as she could only manage 8th of 12, some 32 lengths adrift.
All in all, a day to forget.
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Herecomesthetruth : 4th at 12/1 (adv 10/1)
La Madonnina : 8th at 11/2 (adv 3/1)
Gabrials Wawa : 2nd at 5/4 (adv 7/2)
Castorienta : non-runner (adv 7/4)
Results to date:
593 winning selections from 2085 = 28.44%
187 winning bets in 540 days = 34.63%
P/L : +97.42pts (+9.02% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Two races inside ten minutes on Wednesday…
Brighton is a quirky track, so I’ve gone with two jockeys who ride the course well and are on in-form horses. First up is Silvestre de Sousa and the talented Brazilian rides the current 15/8 BOG favourite Cabuchon who despite being on a lengthy losing run, appears to have come into some better form of late.
He was well-backed when just failed to land a handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW) 4 days ago. He races off the same mark today, and the step back up in trip will suit Cabuchon, as he looks to convert back to back runner-up finishes into a first win in 28!
He’ll not have it all his own way, though as John Egan will be looking to steer Roy Rocket to a third win in four starts and three on the bounce here at Brighton. The partnership won back to back races here inside a week in April, firstly at 1m2f and then over today’s 1m4f, before going down to a 0.75 length defeat as a runner-up at Lingfield three weeks ago.
That, however, was over 1m6f and the return to Brighton and the drop back in trip are sure to benefit Roy Rocket who at 5/2 BOG would be my preferred option.
Cadeaux Pearl is a former course and distance winner and having bagged the prized no.1 stall here, will be very dangerous if jockey Dale Swift gets out sharply. He ran really well at Nottingham a week ago, just failing to make all when headed inside the final furlong and going down by 1.25 lengths. That was over 6f and the drop back to 5f is sure to suit.
He has won 6 times over today’s trip including that C&D win, which came off a mark just 1lb lower than today’s rating, which is the same as his last win. So, he looks reasonably well treated here and if he gets out could be very difficult to catch, making Cadeaux Pearl a real contender at a decent price of 9/2 BOG.
He’d probably be a good deal shorter but for the presence of my preferred runner, the in-form Debt Free Dame, who is currently a 5/2 BOG chance. Three starts and two weeks ago, she was dropped down from 7f for the first time and also wore a hood/blinker combo for the first time and it instantly did the trick. It brought about her best run to date, finishing 2nd of 18, losing by just a neck as she was collared very late into a 6f race at 12/1.
A week later/ago she was a winner wearing the headgear over 6f at Wolverhampton, running on well to win by 4.5 lengths and then she dropped to today’s 5f for the first time at Newcastle 4 days ago to finish second, beaten by just a nose as jockey James Sullivan just failed to time his run for the line correctly. Regular rider Graham Gibbons is back in the saddle and I fancy Debt Free Dame to land this off the same mark as last time out.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Cabuchon / Debt Free Dame @ 9.50/1 (2/1 & 5/2 : SkyBet)
Cabuchon / Cadeaux Pearl @ 14.81/1 (15/8 & 9/2 : Betfred, Betfair SB & Totesport)
Roy Rocket / Debt Free Dame @ 11.25/1 (5/2 & 5/2 : Bet365 & Stan James)
Roy Rocket / Cadeaux Pearl @ 18.25/1 (5/2 & 9/2 : Bet365, Betfair SB & Ladbrokes)