Sat TV Trends: 13th June 2015

This Saturday the C4 action comes from  Sandown, York and Musselburgh this weekend – as normal Andy Newton’s got all the key stats & trends.

Find those TV winners!

Sandown (C4/RUK)

1.45 – winner.co.uk Handicap Cl3 1m1f CH4

10/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Won only once before
10/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
9/13 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
9/13 – Rated between 80-87
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/13 – Favourites unplaced
6/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ran at the track previously
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 10/1

2.20 – Winner Sports Handicap Cl2 1m14y CH4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 4 or younger
0/3 – Favourites
Trainer Mark Johnston won the race in 2012
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2013
Trainer Richard Hannon won the race in 2014

2.55 – Winner Bet & Watch Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y CH4

10/10 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
8/10 – Won over 5f previously
8/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/10 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
6/10 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/10 – Won at least 3 times previously
6/10 – Winners from stall 7 or higher
5/10 – Raced at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
5/10 – Favourites
5/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race previously
2/10 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 4/1

York (C4/RUK)

2.00 – Queen Mother´s Cup Lady Amateur Riders Stakes (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f CH4

11/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Carried 9-11 or more in weight
10/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Won over 1m4f or further previously
10/12 – Raced over 1m4f or further previously
9/12– Favourites placed in the top four
9/12 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
9/12 – Rated between 80-89
8/12 – Had run at York before
8/12 – Had won at least 3 times before
8/12 – Won from a single-figure stall
7/12 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
7/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/12 – Winners from stalls 3 or 4
4/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
3/12 – Won their last race
3/12 – Won by Tim Easterby
2/12 – Won by Luca Cumani
2/12 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
0/12 – Placed horses from stall 2
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 8.6/1
Pearl Castle won the race 12 months ago

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2.35 – JCB Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

No previous runnings (used to be run over 1m1f)
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 3 from 69 with his older horses here
Trainer David Barron is just 1 from 69 with his older horses here
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 2 from 37 with his older horses here
Trainer Richard Fahey is only 16 from 291 with his older horses here

3.10 – Ian And Kate Hall Macmillan Ganton Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m CH4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 5 or younger
3/3 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
2/3 – Favourites
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2012
Trainer Richard Hannon won the race in 2013
Trainer Marco Botti won the race in 2014

3.45 – 888Sport Charity Sprint (Handicap Stakes) Cl2 6f CH4

10/10 – Rated between 87-97
9/10 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
8/10 – Won over 6f previously
7/10 – Favourites unplaced
7/10 – Had won between 1-2 times before
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/10 – Won their last race
2/10 – Won by David Nicholls
2/10 – Won by Tim Easterby (inc last two runnings)
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 10/1
Musselburgh (C4/RUK)

3.25 –William Hill Scottish Sprint Cup (A Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f CH4

10/11 –  Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/11 – Won over 5f previously
9/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Ran between 2-5 times previously
9/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 5
8/11 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
7/11 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/11 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/11 – Won their last race
2/11 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 18/1
Kingsgate Choice won the race in 2013
Demora won the race in 2014

 

Trainers Quotes

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“Munsarim: Probably went a bit too quick last time when trying to make all and cut his throat in the process. Amir Quinn a plus in the saddle – has won on him three times. Has a bit to find with the Moore horse on these terms but these claimers don’t always pan out that way. If he translates his AW form to the turf then fair e/w chance.”
Lee Carter

08/06/15 1st 25/1

“Matraash: Is in good order – trip, ground and track should suit and Kirby a big plus in the saddle. Gary Moore and Tony Carroll’s horses look the ones to beat but we should be hitting the crossbar – e/w shout.”
Mark Loughnane

08/06/15 3rd 20/1

“Power Up: Has done well since recent win under this jockey. Drawn in stall one is a plus as she has no chance of travelling wide. Up 7lbs for lat win, but has come out of that race well and I expect a decent e/w run today.”
Jane Chapple-Hyam

06/06/15 1st 5/1

“Wings of Smoke: Forget the last day he ran as did not stay – down a few pounds too and rates a solid e/w bet here with trip, track and ground fine.”
Tim Vaughan

06/06/15 1st 5/1

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