Double Dutch, 15th June 2015
Regular readers/followers of the Double Dutch were amply rewarded for their patience during my cold spell, as I managed to land a double in back to back races on Saturday.
At Sandown, both the returning Likely and the favourite Waady drifted by a quarter point at the off and despite Likely weakening badly late on (fully understandable considering the length of absence), we landed the spoils as Waady quickened away late on to win by 2 lengths.
Then, just five minutes later, we turned the focus to Hexham, where I liked Our Boy Ben. He was popular in the market, sent of as 2/1 favourite after we’d got on at 11/4, but he was disappointing coming home as penultimate finisher of 9, almost 25 lengths adrift have faded from 3 out.
Step forward the friendless Gin Cobbler! I’d said that despite being kept busy, he was well suited to the trip on offer and so it proved as our 11/2 shot stayed on really well to win by almost four lengths to land the double for us.
But things got better as he was returned a 9/1 winner, with nobody really wanting to back him, so with Waady’s small drift, we ended up collecting a 36.5/1 payout about an advised 21.75/1 bet. And that’s why you need the BOG!
Saturday’s results were as follows:
Waady : WON at 11/4 (adv 5/2)
Likely : 8th at 3/1 (adv 11/4)
Gin Cobbler : WON at 9/1 (adv 11/2)
Our Boy Ben : 8th at 2/1 (adv 11/4)
Results to date:
597 winning selections from 2101 = 28.42%
188 winning bets in 544 days = 34.56%
P/L : +108.17pts (+9.95% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
First picks for this week are…
Since moving to the Skelton yard, Shady Lane has won over hurdles on her yard debut and despite crashing through the final fence was an easy 15 length winner over fences last time out.
She acts well on this softer ground and although she’s rated 10lbs higher over hurdles,. her coinfidence should be high after a run of form reading 1331 since switching trainers and Shady Lane is currently a 7/4 BOG chance.
The big danger is David Pipe’s Bella, who drops down two grades to compete here after a win at Warwick in similarly good to soft conditions in a Class 2 hurdle almost four weeks ago.
Although she’s now 5lbs higher for that last run, there is a feeling that she’s still pretty leniently treated off a mark of 117 here. The tongue tie is still in place, but a hood is added today and if it has the desired effect, then Bella could be a winner at 15/8 BOG.
Just Us Two won a maiden over course and distance last October on his third and final run of last season. He improved on that performance when winning at Windsor on his seasonal reappearance three weeks ago showing no ill effects from a 236-day absence.
He seems a progressive type on the up and although raised 5lb here today, he’s probably still better than his allocated mark of 85. He beat Francisco by a length last time out and although the runner-up was subsequently raised to a mark of 83, he won next time out (Friday at Goodwood). So if the form holds out, Just Us Two would be the one to beat at 7/4 BOG.
Uptight is similarly unexposed after just four starts and comes here boasting a perfect 2 from 2 record at this track. He won over course and distance at the end of the last campaign, but could only finish 8th on his return at Thirsk eight weeks ago.
In fairness, he probably needed the run after a break and was drawn wide with no cover. He has been gelded and the booking of Jamie Spencer is a positive move which might just get a bit more out of Uptight, who can be backed at 4/1 BOG with Coral.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Shady Lane / Just Us Two @ 6.56/1 (7/4 & 7/4, SkyBet, Boylesports)
Shady Lane / Uptight @ 12.75/1 (7/4 & 4/1 : Coral)
Bella / Just Us Two @ 6.91/1 (15/8 & 7/4 : Betfair SB)
Bella / Uptight @ 12.75/1 (7/4 & 4/1 : Coral)